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迈向统计实践更透明化的七个步骤。

Seven steps toward more transparency in statistical practice.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

School for Public Health and Primary Care, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2021 Nov;5(11):1473-1480. doi: 10.1038/s41562-021-01211-8. Epub 2021 Nov 11.

Abstract

We argue that statistical practice in the social and behavioural sciences benefits from transparency, a fair acknowledgement of uncertainty and openness to alternative interpretations. Here, to promote such a practice, we recommend seven concrete statistical procedures: (1) visualizing data; (2) quantifying inferential uncertainty; (3) assessing data preprocessing choices; (4) reporting multiple models; (5) involving multiple analysts; (6) interpreting results modestly; and (7) sharing data and code. We discuss their benefits and limitations, and provide guidelines for adoption. Each of the seven procedures finds inspiration in Merton's ethos of science as reflected in the norms of communalism, universalism, disinterestedness and organized scepticism. We believe that these ethical considerations-as well as their statistical consequences-establish common ground among data analysts, despite continuing disagreements about the foundations of statistical inference.

摘要

我们认为,社会和行为科学中的统计实践得益于透明度、对不确定性的公正承认以及对替代解释的开放性。在这里,为了促进这种实践,我们建议采用七种具体的统计程序:(1)可视化数据;(2)量化推理不确定性;(3)评估数据预处理选择;(4)报告多个模型;(5)涉及多个分析师;(6)适度解释结果;(7)共享数据和代码。我们讨论了它们的优点和局限性,并提供了采用的指南。这七个程序中的每一个都受到默顿科学精神的启发,体现在公社主义、普遍性、无私和有组织的怀疑主义的规范中。我们相信,这些伦理考虑因素——以及它们的统计后果——在数据分析人员之间建立了共同点,尽管他们对统计推理的基础仍存在持续的分歧。

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