Hoogeveen S, Borsboom D, Kucharský Š, Marsman M, Molenaar D, de Ron J, Sekulovski N, Visser I, van Elk M, Wagenmakers E-J
Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
R Soc Open Sci. 2024 Sep 4;11(9):240049. doi: 10.1098/rsos.240049. eCollection 2024 Sep.
Paranormal beliefs encompass a wide variety of phenomena, including the existence of supernatural entities such as ghosts and witches, as well as extraordinary human abilities such as telepathy and clairvoyance. In the current study, we used a nationally representative sample ( ) to investigate the presence and correlates of paranormal beliefs among the secular Dutch population. The results indicated that most single paranormal phenomena (e.g. belief in clairvoyance) are endorsed by 10-20% of Dutch respondents; however, 55.6% of respondents qualify as paranormal believers based on the preregistered criterion that they believe in at least one phenomenon with considerable certainty. In addition, we invited four analysis teams with different methodological expertise to assess the structure of paranormal beliefs using traditional factor analysis, network analysis, Bayesian network analysis and latent class analysis (LCA). The teams' analyses indicated adequate fit of a four-factor structure reported in a 1985 study, but also emphasized different conclusions across techniques; network analyses showed evidence against strong connectedness within most clusters, and suggested a five-cluster structure. The application of various analytic techniques painted a nuanced picture of paranormal beliefs and believers in The Netherlands and suggests that despite increased secularization, subgroups of the general population still believe in paranormal phenomena.
超自然信念涵盖了各种各样的现象,包括鬼魂和女巫等超自然实体的存在,以及心灵感应和千里眼等非凡的人类能力。在当前的研究中,我们使用了一个具有全国代表性的样本( )来调查荷兰世俗人群中超自然信念的存在情况及其相关因素。结果表明,大多数单一的超自然现象(例如对千里眼的信念)得到了10%至20%的荷兰受访者的认可;然而,根据预先设定的标准,即至少相当确定地相信一种现象,55.6%的受访者可被视为超自然信念者。此外,我们邀请了四个具有不同方法学专长的分析团队,使用传统因素分析、网络分析、贝叶斯网络分析和潜在类别分析(LCA)来评估超自然信念的结构。这些团队的分析表明,1985年一项研究中报告的四因素结构拟合良好,但同时也强调了不同技术得出的不同结论;网络分析显示,大多数集群内部不存在强连通性的证据,并提出了一种五集群结构。各种分析技术的应用描绘了荷兰超自然信念和信念者的细致图景,并表明尽管世俗化程度有所提高,但普通人群中的亚群体仍然相信超自然现象。