Zhu Tong, Zhu Zishuo, Zhang Jie, Yang Chenxuan
College of Transportation Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, China.
Research Institute of Highway, Ministry of Transport, Beijing 100088, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Oct 22;18(21):11131. doi: 10.3390/ijerph182111131.
Accidents involving electric bicycles, a popular means of transportation in China during peak traffic periods, have increased. However, studies have seldom attempted to detect the unique crash consequences during this period. This study aims to explore the factors influencing injury severity in electric bicyclists during peak traffic periods and provide recommendations to help devise specific management strategies. The random-parameters logit or mixed logit model is used to identify the relationship between different factors and injury severity. The injury severity is divided into four categories. The analysis uses automobile and electric bicycle crash data of Xi'an, China, between 2014 and 2019. During the peak traffic periods, the impact of low visibility significantly varies with factors such as areas with traffic control or without streetlights. Furthermore, compared with traveling in a straight line, three different turnings before the crash reduce the likelihood of severe injuries. Roadside protection trees are the most crucial measure guaranteeing riders' safety during peak traffic periods. This study reveals the direction, magnitude, and randomness of factors that contribute to electric bicycle crashes. The results can help safety authorities devise targeted transportation safety management and planning strategies for peak traffic periods.
涉及电动自行车的事故有所增加,电动自行车在中国交通高峰期是一种流行的交通工具。然而,很少有研究试图探究这一时期独特的碰撞后果。本研究旨在探讨交通高峰期影响电动自行车骑行者受伤严重程度的因素,并提出建议以帮助制定具体的管理策略。采用随机参数logit模型或混合logit模型来确定不同因素与受伤严重程度之间的关系。受伤严重程度分为四类。分析使用了2014年至2019年中国西安的汽车与电动自行车碰撞数据。在交通高峰期,低能见度的影响会因交通管制区域或无路灯区域等因素而有显著差异。此外,与直线行驶相比,碰撞前的三种不同转弯方式会降低重伤的可能性。路边防护树是保障交通高峰期骑行者安全的最关键措施。本研究揭示了导致电动自行车碰撞的因素的方向、程度和随机性。研究结果有助于安全部门为交通高峰期制定有针对性的交通安全管理和规划策略。