IGN, Laboratoire d'Inventaire Forestier, Nancy, France.
PLoS One. 2021 Nov 24;16(11):e0259795. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0259795. eCollection 2021.
The current increase in European forest resources forms a singularity across the globe. Whether this trend will persist, and how biological and economic trends feature it form crucial issues to green economy challenges and C sequestration. The present screening of Forest Europe 2015 statistics explored the features, inertia and limits of this expansion, and its relationships with countries' development, forest management and trade, intense in this area of the world. Persisting footprint of past demographic pressure on forests was identified, with opposed traces on their area and growing stock density. Steady growing stock (GS) increases, proportional to GS, not density-limited, and sustained by forest area increases, supported the view of an inflationary forest dynamic. Economic development and liberalism fostered both forest exploitation and production, yielding no significant impact on GS changes. Wood exports exerted a tension on forest exploitation and GS changes, thus lowering GS inflation but providing a resource security margin in the face of expected climate threats. Conflicting a common view, GS inflation and moderate felling-to-increment ratios make increased use of wood resources and C sequestration reconcilable, and GS expansion timely for ongoing EU forest policy processes. Anticipated adverse impacts of ongoing climate change were not clearly identified in these statistics.
当前欧洲森林资源的增长在全球范围内形成了一个奇点。这种趋势是否会持续，以及生物和经济趋势如何影响它，是绿色经济挑战和碳固存的关键问题。本研究对 2015 年欧洲森林的统计数据进行了筛选，探讨了这种扩张的特征、惯性和局限性，以及其与各国发展、森林管理和贸易的关系，这在世界这个地区是很激烈的。过去人口对森林的压力在森林面积和生长密度上留下了持久的痕迹。稳定的生长量（GS）增加，与 GS 成正比，不受密度限制，并且得益于森林面积的增加，支持了森林动态具有膨胀性的观点。经济发展和自由放任既促进了森林的开发和生产，也没有对 GS 变化产生显著影响。木材出口对森林开发和 GS 变化施加了压力，从而降低了 GS 的膨胀，但在面临预期的气候威胁时提供了资源安全保障。与普遍观点相矛盾的是，GS 膨胀和适度的采伐与增量比使木材资源的利用和碳固存更加协调，并且 GS 的扩张对正在进行的欧盟森林政策进程是及时的。这些统计数据没有明确指出正在发生的气候变化的预期不利影响。
