Verly Junior Eliseu, Oliveira Dayan Carvalho Ramos Salles de, Sichieri Rosely
Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro. Instituto de Medicina Social. Departamento de Epidemiologia. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Rev Saude Publica. 2021 Nov 26;55(suppl 1):7s. doi: 10.11606/s1518-8787.2021055003329. eCollection 2021.
To estimate the lowest cost of a healthy and culturally acceptable diet and to assess the evolution of its cost in the periods 2008-2009 and 2017-2018.
We used data on the individual food consumption and food prices from the Pesquisas de Orçamentos Familiares (Household Budget Surveys), in the 2008-2009 and 2017-2018. The sample strata of each period were aggregated, forming 108 new strata with geographic and economic homogeneity. Linear programming models generated diets for each new stratum, considering the constraints in two models: model 1 (≥ 400g of fruits and vegetables); and model 2 (≥ 400g of fruits and vegetables, < 2300mg of sodium, sodium/potassium ratio < 1, ≥ 500mg of calcium). Each food could progressively deviate 5g from the observed consumption averages until the models found a solution in each of the strata. The objective function was to minimize the total cost of the diet.
The average observed and optimized costs were R$4.96, R$4.62 (model 1) and R$5.08 (model 2) in 2008-2009, and R$9.18, R$8.69 and R$9.87 in 2017-2018. Models 1 and 2 resulted in an increase of up to 6% and 11% in 2008-2009, and of up to 25% and 34% in 2017-2018 in the lowest income strata. The main changes observed in the two models include the reduction in the amounts of sweetened beverages, sweets, sauces, ready-to-eat foods, and an increase in fruits and vegetables, flour, and tubers.
The adequate amount of fruits and vegetables resulted in an increase in costs to some population strata. When the adequacy of calcium, sodium, and potassium was considered, we observed a more significant increase in cost, especially in 2017-2018.
估算健康且符合文化习惯的饮食的最低成本,并评估其在2008 - 2009年和2017 - 2018年期间成本的变化情况。
我们使用了2008 - 2009年和2017 - 2018年家庭预算调查(Pesquisas de Orçamentos Familiares)中的个人食物消费和食物价格数据。对每个时期的样本分层进行汇总,形成108个具有地理和经济同质性的新分层。线性规划模型为每个新分层生成饮食方案,考虑两个模型中的限制条件:模型1(水果和蔬菜≥400克);模型2(水果和蔬菜≥400克,钠<2300毫克,钠/钾比<1,钙≥500毫克)。每种食物可逐渐偏离观察到的消费平均值5克,直到模型在每个分层中找到解决方案。目标函数是使饮食的总成本最小化。
2008 - 2009年观察到的平均成本和优化后的成本分别为4.96雷亚尔、4.62雷亚尔(模型1)和5.08雷亚尔(模型2),2017 - 2018年分别为9.18雷亚尔、8.69雷亚尔和9.87雷亚尔。在2008 - 2009年,模型1和模型2使最低收入阶层的成本分别最多增加了6%和11%,在2017 - 2018年分别最多增加了25%和34%。在两个模型中观察到的主要变化包括甜味饮料、糖果、酱料、即食食品的消费量减少,以及水果、蔬菜、面粉和块茎类食物的消费量增加。
适量增加水果和蔬菜的摄入量会导致部分人群阶层的成本增加。当考虑钙、钠和钾的适宜摄入量时,我们观察到成本有更显著的增加,尤其是在2017 - 2018年。