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奥地利伊施格尔滑雪胜地儿童和成人中新冠病毒血清阳性率很高。

High SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in children and adults in the Austrian ski resort of Ischgl.

作者信息

Knabl Ludwig, Mitra Tanmay, Kimpel Janine, Rössler Annika, Volland André, Walser Andreas, Ulmer Hanno, Pipperger Lisa, Binder Sebastian C, Riepler Lydia, Bates Katie, Bandyopadhyay Arnab, Schips Marta, Ranjan Mrinalini, Falkensammer Barbara, Borena Wegene, Meyer-Hermann Michael, von Laer Dorothee

机构信息

Institute of Virology, Department of Hygiene, Microbiology and Public Health, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.

Department of Systems Immunology and Braunschweig Integrated Centre of Systems Biology, Helmholtz Centre for Infection Research, Braunschweig, Germany.

出版信息

Commun Med (Lond). 2021;1(1):4. doi: 10.1038/s43856-021-00007-1. Epub 2021 Jun 30.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In early March 2020, a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the ski resort Ischgl in Austria initiated the spread of SARS-CoV-2 throughout Austria and Northern Europe.

METHODS

Between April 21 and 27 2020, a cross-sectional epidemiologic study targeting the full population of Ischgl ( = 1867), of which 79% could be included ( = 1473, incl. 214 children), was performed. For each individual, the study involved a SARS-CoV-2 PCR, antibody testing and structured questionnaires. A mathematical model was used to help understand the influence of the determined seroprevalence on virus transmission.

RESULTS

The seroprevalence was 42.4% (95% confidence interval (CI) 39.8-44.7). Individuals under 18 showed a significantly lower seroprevalence of 27.1% (95% CI 21.3-33.6) than adults (45%; 95% CI 42.2-47.7; OR of 0.455, 95% CI 0.356-0.682,  < 0.001). Of the seropositive individuals, 83.7% had not been diagnosed to have had SARS-CoV-2 infection previously. The clinical course was generally mild. Over the previous two months, two COVID-19-related deaths had been recorded, corresponding to an infection fatality rate of 0.25% (95% CI 0.03-0.91). Only 8 (0.5 %) individuals were newly diagnosed to be infected with SARS-CoV-2 during this study.

CONCLUSIONS

Ischgl was hit early and hard by SARS-CoV-2 leading to a high local seroprevalence of 42.4%, which was lower in individuals below the age of 18 than in adults. Mathematical modeling suggests that a drastic decline of newly infected individuals in Ischgl by the end of April occurred due to the dual impact from the non-pharmacological interventions and a high immunization of the Ischgl population.

摘要

背景

2020年3月初,奥地利伊施格尔滑雪胜地爆发的新冠病毒疫情引发了新冠病毒在奥地利和北欧的传播。

方法

2020年4月21日至27日,针对伊施格尔全体居民(n = 1867)开展了一项横断面流行病学研究,其中79%的居民(n = 1473,包括214名儿童)被纳入研究。对每个个体进行了新冠病毒PCR检测、抗体检测和结构化问卷调查。使用数学模型来帮助理解所确定的血清阳性率对病毒传播的影响。

结果

血清阳性率为42.4%(95%置信区间(CI)39.8 - 44.7)。18岁以下个体的血清阳性率显著低于成年人,为27.1%(95% CI 21.3 - 33.6)(成年人血清阳性率为45%;95% CI 42.2 - 47.7;比值比为0.455,95% CI 0.356 - 0.682,P < 0.001)。在血清阳性个体中,83.7%之前未被诊断感染过新冠病毒。临床过程总体较轻。在过去两个月中,记录了两例与新冠病毒相关的死亡病例,感染死亡率为0.25%(95% CI 0.03 - 0.91)。在本研究期间,只有8名(0.5%)个体被新诊断感染新冠病毒。

结论

伊施格尔早期受到新冠病毒的严重冲击,导致当地血清阳性率高达42.4%,18岁以下个体的血清阳性率低于成年人。数学模型表明,由于非药物干预措施和伊施格尔居民的高免疫率的双重影响,到4月底伊施格尔新感染个体数量急剧下降。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d31c/9053225/1cf1719aba89/43856_2021_7_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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