Nguyen Thuy D, Gupta Sumedha, Andersen Martin S, Bento Ana I, Simon Kosali I, Wing Coady
School of Public Health University of Michigan Ann Arbor Michigan USA.
Economics Department Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) Indianapolis Indiana USA.
South Econ J. 2021 Oct;88(2):458-486. doi: 10.1002/soej.12538. Epub 2021 Sep 30.
This study quantifies the effect of the 2020 state COVID economic activity reopening policies on daily mobility and mixing behavior, adding to the economic literature on individual responses to public health policy that addresses public contagion risks. We harness cellular device signal data and the timing of reopening plans to provide an assessment of the extent to which human mobility and physical proximity in the United States respond to the reversal of state closure policies. We observe substantial increases in mixing activities, 13.56% at 4 days and 48.65% at 4 weeks, following reopening events. Echoing a theme from the literature on the 2020 closures, mobility outside the home increased on average prior to these state actions. Furthermore, the largest increases in mobility occurred in states that were early adopters of closure measures and hard-hit by the pandemic, suggesting that psychological fatigue is an important barrier to implementation of closure policies extending for prolonged periods of time.
本研究量化了2020年各州新冠疫情经济活动重新开放政策对日常出行和社交行为的影响,为关于个人对应对公共传染风险的公共卫生政策反应的经济文献增添了内容。我们利用移动设备信号数据和重新开放计划的时间,来评估美国的人员流动和身体接触在多大程度上对各州关闭政策的逆转做出反应。我们观察到,重新开放事件后,社交活动大幅增加,在4天时增加了13.56%,在4周时增加了48.65%。与2020年关闭措施相关文献中的一个主题相呼应,在这些州采取行动之前,家庭外出活动平均有所增加。此外,流动性增加最大的是那些较早采取关闭措施且受疫情重创的州,这表明心理疲劳是长期实施关闭政策的一个重要障碍。