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利用支持向量机和深度学习算法预测马来西亚半岛的悬移质泥沙负荷。

Predicting suspended sediment load in Peninsular Malaysia using support vector machine and deep learning algorithms.

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, 43000, Selangor, Malaysia.

Department of Civil Engineering, Lee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, Selangor, Malaysia.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Jan 7;12(1):302. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-04419-w.

Abstract

High loads of suspended sediments in rivers are known to cause detrimental effects to potable water sources, river water quality, irrigation activities, and dam or reservoir operations. For this reason, the study of suspended sediment load (SSL) prediction is important for monitoring and damage mitigation purposes. The present study tests and develops machine learning (ML) models, based on the support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms, to predict SSL based on 11 different river data sets comprising of streamflow (SF) and SSL data obtained from the Malaysian Department of Irrigation and Drainage. The main objective of the present study is to propose a single model that is capable of accurately predicting SSLs for any river data set within Peninsular Malaysia. The ANN3 model, based on the ANN algorithm and input scenario 3 (inputs consisting of current-day SF, previous-day SF, and previous-day SSL), is determined as the best model in the present study as it produced the best predictive performance for 5 out of 11 of the tested data sets and obtained the highest average RM with a score of 2.64 when compared to the other tested models, indicating that it has the highest reliability to produce relatively high-accuracy SSL predictions for different data sets. Therefore, the ANN3 model is proposed as a universal model for the prediction of SSL within Peninsular Malaysia.

摘要

高浓度的悬浮泥沙会对饮用水源、河水水质、灌溉活动以及水坝或水库的运行造成不利影响。因此,研究悬浮泥沙负荷(SSL)预测对于监测和减轻损害非常重要。本研究基于支持向量机(SVM)、人工神经网络(ANN)和长短期记忆(LSTM)算法,测试和开发了机器学习(ML)模型,用于根据来自马来西亚灌溉和排水部的流量(SF)和 SSL 数据的 11 个不同河流数据集来预测 SSL。本研究的主要目的是提出一个单一的模型,该模型能够准确地预测马来西亚半岛任何河流数据集的 SSL。ANN3 模型,基于 ANN 算法和输入方案 3(输入包括当前日期的 SF、前一天的 SF 和前一天的 SSL),被确定为本研究中的最佳模型,因为它在 11 个测试数据集的 5 个中产生了最佳的预测性能,与其他测试模型相比,它获得了最高的平均 RM,得分为 2.64,这表明它具有最高的可靠性,能够为不同数据集生成相对高精度的 SSL 预测。因此,ANN3 模型被提议作为马来西亚半岛 SSL 预测的通用模型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f36c/8741754/6bc8b3de6403/41598_2021_4419_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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