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评估能源消耗、金融发展、旅游和环境之间的联系:矩量分位数回归方法的证据。

Assessing the linkage between energy consumption, financial development, tourism and environment: evidence from method of moments quantile regression.

机构信息

Faculty of Applied Sciences, Istanbul Gelisim University, Istanbul, Turkey.

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University, Via Mersin 10, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Apr;29(20):30004-30018. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-17920-6. Epub 2022 Jan 8.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-021-17920-6
PMID:34997499
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8741540/
Abstract

According to the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), tourism sector ranks high in terms of her contribution to economic growth and employment opportunity generation in most economies. Several studies have been documented in the extant literature on the nexus between emission, tourism, and economic growth. However, the role of foreign direct investment that highlights either pollution haven or halo hypothesis and pivotal role of domestic credit to private sector in an environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) environment is lacking in the extant literature. To this end, this study used augmented mean group (AMG) and method of moment quantile regression (MM-QR) approaches to explore the nexus between per capital income and its square, tourism, foreign direct investment, domestic credit to private sector and CO emission. Empirical results show that tourism had a negative significant relationship with CO emission. Furthermore, income on the other hand had positive relationship with emissions while its square had negative relationship with emissions. This result also shows the presence of EKC indicating the inverted U-shaped curve. FDI has shown a positive significant relationship with pollution which indicates the pollutant haven hypothesis (PHH), and credit to private sector shows a positive relationship with CO emission. On the causality analysis from Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel causality test, there was a bi-directional causality between: tourism and CO emission, per capital income and CO emission as well as domestic credit and CO emission. From these outcomes, it shows that tourism development is not detrimental to environmental quality in the Mediterranean region investigated. However, there is need for caution on FDI influx and dirty economic activities that might compromise environmental quality in the study bloc.

摘要

根据联合国世界旅游组织(UNWTO)的数据,在大多数经济体中,旅游业在促进经济增长和创造就业机会方面的贡献排名很高。现有文献中有许多关于排放、旅游和经济增长之间关系的研究。然而,在现有的文献中,缺乏关于外国直接投资的作用的研究,该作用强调了污染避难所或光环假说,以及国内对私营部门的信贷在环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)环境中的关键作用。为此,本研究使用了广义均值组(AMG)和矩分位数回归(MM-QR)方法来探讨人均收入及其平方、旅游、外国直接投资、国内对私营部门的信贷和 CO 排放之间的关系。实证结果表明,旅游与 CO 排放呈负相关关系。另一方面,收入与排放呈正相关,而其平方与排放呈负相关。这一结果也表明存在 EKC,表明存在倒 U 型曲线。外国直接投资与污染呈正相关关系,表明存在污染避难所假说(PHH),而对私营部门的信贷与 CO 排放呈正相关关系。从 Dumitrescu 和 Hurlin 面板因果检验的因果关系分析来看,旅游和 CO 排放、人均收入和 CO 排放以及国内信贷和 CO 排放之间存在双向因果关系。从这些结果可以看出,在研究区域内,旅游发展不会对环境质量造成不利影响。然而,需要注意的是,外国直接投资的涌入和可能影响研究区域环境质量的肮脏经济活动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a5/8741540/54d26a2f4c2d/11356_2021_17920_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a5/8741540/d8470c3a64bc/11356_2021_17920_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a5/8741540/54d26a2f4c2d/11356_2021_17920_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a5/8741540/d8470c3a64bc/11356_2021_17920_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a5/8741540/54d26a2f4c2d/11356_2021_17920_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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