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重点:欧洲针对 COVID-19 的非药物干预措施。

What matters: non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 in Europe.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University, Hubei, China.

Department of Epidemiology and Medicine Statistics,Public Health and Management School, Wenzhou Medical University, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

Antimicrob Resist Infect Control. 2022 Jan 9;11(1):3. doi: 10.1186/s13756-021-01039-x.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study is to describe the situation of COVID-19 in European countries and to identify important factors related to prevention and control.

METHODS

We obtained data from World Health Statistics 2020 and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). We calculated the Rt values of 51 countries in Europe under different prevention and control measures. We used lasso regression to screen factors associated with morbidity and mortality. For the selected variables, we used quantile regression to analyse the relevant influencing factors in countries with different levels of morbidity or mortality.

RESULTS

The government has a great influence on the change in Rt value through prevention and control measures. The most important factors for personal and group prevention and control are the mobility index, testing, the closure of educational facilities, restrictions on large-scale gatherings, and commercial restrictions. The number of ICU beds and doctors in medical resources are also key factors. Basic sanitation facilities, such as the proportion of safe drinking water, also have an impact on the COVID-19 epidemic.

CONCLUSIONS

We described the current status of COVID-19 in European countries. Our findings demonstrated key factors in individual and group prevention measures.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在描述欧洲国家 COVID-19 的情况,并确定与预防和控制相关的重要因素。

方法

我们从《2020 年世界卫生统计》和健康指标与评估研究所(IHME)获取数据。我们计算了欧洲 51 个国家在不同预防和控制措施下的 Rt 值。我们使用套索回归筛选与发病率和死亡率相关的因素。对于选定的变量,我们使用分位数回归分析发病率或死亡率不同的国家的相关影响因素。

结果

政府通过预防和控制措施对 Rt 值的变化有很大影响。个人和群体预防控制的最重要因素是流动指数、检测、教育设施关闭、限制大规模集会和商业限制。重症监护病房和医生数量等医疗资源也是关键因素。基本卫生设施,如安全饮用水的比例,也对 COVID-19 疫情有影响。

结论

我们描述了欧洲国家 COVID-19 的现状。我们的研究结果表明了个人和群体预防措施中的关键因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e051/8744355/11a7869522c5/13756_2021_1039_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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