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大气污染与葡萄牙的死亡率:使用 AirQ+ 模型定量评估疾病的环境负担。

Atmospheric pollution and mortality in Portugal: Quantitative assessment of the environmental burden of disease using the AirQ+ model.

机构信息

Instituto Universitário Egas Moniz (IUEM), Campus Universitário, Quinta da Granja, Monte de Caparica, 2829-511 Caparica, Portugal; Centro de Investigação Interdisciplinar Egas Moniz (CiiEM), Campus Universitário - Quinta da Granja, Monte de Caparica, 2829-511 Caparica, Portugal.

Instituto Universitário Egas Moniz (IUEM), Campus Universitário, Quinta da Granja, Monte de Caparica, 2829-511 Caparica, Portugal; Centro de Investigação Interdisciplinar Egas Moniz (CiiEM), Campus Universitário - Quinta da Granja, Monte de Caparica, 2829-511 Caparica, Portugal.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Apr 1;815:152964. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.152964. Epub 2022 Jan 8.

DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.152964
PMID:35007595
Abstract

In Portugal, data on mortality rate attributed to household and ambient air pollution are not reported due to shortness and irregularity of the available data series, and therefore, the disclosure of the national progress in reducing the number of deaths and illnesses from air contamination in exposures to multiple pollutants is incomplete. The present work describes the application of the AirQ+ model developed by the WHO to calculate how much of specific health outcomes is attributable to long-term exposure to atmospheric NO, PM, and O in the population of various municipalities in Portugal, from 2010 to 2019. Linear Mixed Models were used for data analysis and have shown that (i) approximately 5000 deaths per year are attributable to exposure to mixtures of NO and PM; (ii) the spatial distribution of the proportion of deaths attributable to NO, PM and O shows significant differences between locations, and (iii) that AirQ+ is a useful tool for the purpose of effective Public Health policymaking and reporting on the national progress to implement the 2030 Agenda.

摘要

在葡萄牙,由于可用数据系列的缺乏和不规律,与户内和环境空气污染有关的死亡率数据并未被报道,因此,在接触多种污染物的情况下,减少因空气污染导致的死亡和疾病人数的国家进展情况的披露并不完整。本研究应用了世卫组织开发的 AirQ+模型,计算了 2010 年至 2019 年期间,大气中的 NO、PM 和 O 长期暴露对葡萄牙各城市人群的特定健康结果的影响程度。线性混合模型用于数据分析,结果表明:(i)每年约有 5000 人因接触 NO 和 PM 混合物而死亡;(ii)归因于 NO、PM 和 O 的死亡比例的空间分布在不同地点之间存在显著差异;(iii)AirQ+ 是制定有效公共卫生政策和报告实施 2030 年议程国家进展情况的有用工具。

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