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疫苗接种、流动性与 COVID-19 传播。

Vaccinations, Mobility and COVID-19 Transmission.

机构信息

Institute of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China.

School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Dec 23;19(1):97. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19010097.

Abstract

In order to prevent the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), 52.4% of the world population had received at least one dose of a vaccine at17 November 2021, but little is known about the non-pharmaceutical aspect of vaccination. Here we empirically examine the impact of vaccination on human behaviors and COVID-19 transmission via structural equation modeling. The results suggest that, from a non-pharmaceutical perspective, the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines is related to human behaviors, in this case, mobility; vaccination slows the spread of COVID-19 in the regions where vaccination is negatively related to mobility, but such an effect is not observed in the regions where vaccination and mobility have positive correlations. This article highlights the significance of mobility in realizing the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines; even with large-scale vaccination, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as social distancing, are still required to contain the transmission of COVID-19.

摘要

截至 2021 年 11 月 17 日,全球 52.4%的人口已至少接种一剂疫苗,以预防 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的传播,但对于疫苗接种的非药物方面知之甚少。在这里,我们通过结构方程模型实证检验了疫苗接种对人类行为和 COVID-19 传播的影响。结果表明,从非药物角度来看,COVID-19 疫苗的有效性与人类行为有关,在这种情况下,与流动性有关;疫苗接种减缓了与流动性呈负相关的地区 COVID-19 的传播,但在疫苗接种和流动性呈正相关的地区,这种效果并不明显。本文强调了流动性在实现 COVID-19 疫苗有效性方面的重要性;即使大规模接种疫苗,仍需要采取非药物干预措施,如保持社交距离,以控制 COVID-19 的传播。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2949/8751025/cb2fecdc8506/ijerph-19-00097-g001.jpg

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