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在最近的气候变暖下,英国的植物开花时间提前了一个月。

Plants in the UK flower a month earlier under recent warming.

机构信息

Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK.

Swiss Federal Research Institute (WSL), 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland.

出版信息

Proc Biol Sci. 2022 Feb 9;289(1968):20212456. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2021.2456. Epub 2022 Feb 2.

Abstract

Global temperatures are rising at an unprecedented rate, but environmental responses are often difficult to recognize and quantify. Long-term observations of plant phenology, the annually recurring sequence of plant developmental stages, can provide sensitive measures of climate change and important information for ecosystem services. Here, we present 419 354 recordings of the first flowering date from 406 plant species in the UK between 1753 and 2019 CE. Community-wide first flowering advanced by almost one month on average when comparing all observations before and after 1986 ( < 0.0001). The mean first flowering time is 6 days earlier in southern than northern sites, 5 days earlier under urban than rural settings, and 1 day earlier at lower than higher elevations. Compared to trees and shrubs, the largest lifeform-specific phenological shift of 32 days is found in herbs, which are generally characterized by fast turnover rates and potentially high levels of genetic adaptation. Correlated with January-April maximum temperatures at -0.81 from 1952-2019 ( < 0.0001), the observed trends (5.4 days per decade) and extremes (66 days between the earliest and latest annual mean) in the UK's first flowering dataset can affect the functioning and productivity of ecosystems and agriculture.

摘要

全球气温正以前所未有的速度上升,但环境响应往往难以识别和量化。植物物候学的长期观测,即植物发育阶段的年度重复顺序,可以提供气候变化的敏感测量,并为生态系统服务提供重要信息。在这里,我们展示了 1753 年至 2019 年间英国 406 种植物中 419354 次首次开花日期的记录。在比较 1986 年前后的所有观测值时,平均而言,群落范围内的首次开花提前了将近一个月(<0.0001)。与北部地区相比,南部地区的首次开花时间平均早 6 天,与农村地区相比,城市地区的首次开花时间早 5 天,与高海拔地区相比,低海拔地区的首次开花时间早 1 天。与树木和灌木相比,草本植物的物候变化最大,特定生活型的物候变化达到 32 天,这是因为草本植物通常具有快速的周转率和潜在的高水平遗传适应性。与 1952 年至 2019 年 1 月至 4 月的最高温度(<0.0001)相关,英国首次开花数据集观察到的趋势(每十年 5.4 天)和极值(最早和最晚年平均值之间相差 66 天)可能会影响生态系统和农业的功能和生产力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f736/8808087/6ed5a6b2b7ad/rspb20212456f01.jpg

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