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大田作物和野生植物物候期变化的差异——它们对中欧气候变化的响应相同吗?

Differences in phenological term changes in field crops and wild plants - do they have the same response to climate change in Central Europe?

作者信息

Bartošová L, Hájková L, Pohanková E, Možný M, Balek J, Zahradníček P, Štěpánek P, Dížková P, Trnka M, Žalud Z

机构信息

Department of Climate Change Impacts on Agroecosystems, Institute of Global Change Research of the Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Bělidla 986/4b, Brno, 60300, Czech Republic.

Department of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Faculty of AgriSciences, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, Brno, Czech Republic.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2025 Mar;69(3):659-670. doi: 10.1007/s00484-024-02846-8. Epub 2025 Jan 7.

Abstract

Phenological shifts in wild-growing plants and wild animal phenophases are well documented at many European sites. Less is known about phenological shifts in agricultural plants and how wild ecosystem phenology interacts with crop phenology. Here, we present long-term phenological observations (1961-2021) from the Czech Republic for wild plants and agricultural crops and how the timing of phenophases differs from each other. The phenology of wild-growing plants was observed at various experimental sites with no agriculture or forestry management within the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute observations. The phenological data of the crops were collected from small experimental plots at the Central Institute for Supervising and Testing in Agriculture. The data clearly show a tendency to shift to earlier times during the observation period. The data also show some asynchrony in phenological shifts. Compared with wild plants, agricultural crops showed more expressive shifts to the start of the season. Phenological trends for crop plants (Triticum aestivum) showed accelerated shifts of 4.1 and 5.1 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively; on the other hand, the average phenological shift for wild plants showed smaller shifts of 2.7 and 2.9 days per decade at low and middle altitudes, respectively. The phenophase ´heading´ of T. aestivum showed the highest correlation with maximum temperatures (r = 0.9), followed by wild species (with r = 0.7-0.8) and two remaining phenophases of T. aestivum jointing and ripening (with r = 0.7 and 0.6). To better understand the impacts of climate on phenological changes, it is optimal to evaluate natural and unaffected plant responses in wild species since the phenology of field crops is most probably influenced not only by climate but also by agricultural management.

摘要

在欧洲许多地区,野生植物的物候变化以及野生动物的物候期都有详尽记录。而关于农作物的物候变化以及野生生态系统物候与作物物候如何相互作用,我们了解得较少。在此,我们展示了捷克共和国1961年至2021年期间对野生植物和农作物的长期物候观测,以及物候期的时间彼此有何不同。野生植物的物候在捷克水文气象研究所观测范围内的各种没有农业或林业管理的实验地点进行观测。农作物的物候数据则从农业中央监督和测试研究所的小型实验地块收集。数据清楚地显示在观测期内有提前的趋势。数据还显示了物候变化中的一些不同步性。与野生植物相比,农作物向季节开始的变化更为明显。作物(普通小麦)的物候趋势显示,在低海拔和中海拔地区,每十年分别加速变化4.1天和5.1天;另一方面,野生植物的平均物候变化在低海拔和中海拔地区分别为每十年较小的2.7天和2.9天。普通小麦的“抽穗”物候期与最高温度的相关性最高(r = 0.9),其次是野生物种(r = 0.7 - 0.8),以及普通小麦的另外两个物候期“拔节”和“成熟”(r = 0.7和0.6)。为了更好地理解气候对物候变化的影响,评估野生物种自然且未受影响的植物反应是最佳选择,因为大田作物的物候很可能不仅受气候影响,还受农业管理影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/816a/11860992/922f7b233d9d/484_2024_2846_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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