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金融发展和工业化是否会加剧土耳其的能源消耗?

Do financial development and industrialization intensify energy consumption in Turkey?

机构信息

Faculty of Economics, Administrative and Social Sciences, Bahcesehir Cyprus University, via Mersin 10, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jun;29(29):44558-44572. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19003-6. Epub 2022 Feb 8.

Abstract

This study examines the inverted U-shape relationship between financial development and energy intensity for Turkish economy. To this end, ARDL model has been employed to estimate the short-run and long-run coefficients. The Bayer and Hanck (2013) combined cointegration technique and ARDL bounds testing were employed to examine the cointegration association among investigated variables using annual data from 1976 to 2016. The statistically significant and inverted U-shaped association was affirmed between financial development and energy intensity in Turkey. The results also show that financial development has positive and significant effect on energy intensity. The result of Hacker and Hatemi-J (2012) leveraged bootstrap causality test reveals the unidirectional relationship running from financial development to energy intensity in Turkey. However, the feedback causal effect was found between industrialization and energy intensity. Further insights into causal relationship and policy implications are provided in the Conclusion section.

摘要

本研究考察了土耳其经济中金融发展与能源强度之间的倒 U 型关系。为此,采用 ARDL 模型估计短期和长期系数。采用 Bayer 和 Hanck(2013)的组合协整技术和 ARDL 边界检验,利用 1976 年至 2016 年的年度数据,检验了研究变量之间的协整关系。在土耳其,金融发展与能源强度之间存在显著的倒 U 型关系。结果还表明,金融发展对能源强度有正向显著影响。Hacker 和 Hatemi-J(2012)的杠杆 bootstrap 因果检验结果表明,土耳其的金融发展与能源强度之间存在从金融发展到能源强度的单向关系。然而,工业化与能源强度之间存在反馈因果关系。在结论部分提供了对因果关系和政策含义的进一步见解。

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