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实现 2020 年长江洪水期间的水库满负荷运行潜力。

Realizing the full reservoir operation potential during the 2020 Yangtze river floods.

机构信息

China Yangtze Power Co., Ltd., Yichang, 443133, China.

Hubei Key Laboratory of Intelligent Yangtze and Hydroelectric Science, Yichang, 443133, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Feb 18;12(1):2822. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-06801-8.

Abstract

Five severe floods occurred in the Yangtze River Basin, China, between July and August 2020, and the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) located in the middle Yangtze River experienced the highest inflow since construction. The world's largest cascade-reservoir group, which counts for 22 cascade reservoirs in the upper Yangtze River, cooperated in real time to control floods. The cooperation prevented evacuation of 600,000 people and extensive inundations of farmlands and aquacultural areas. In addition, no water spillage occurred during the flood control period, resulting in a world-record annual output of the TGR hydropower station. This work describes decision making challenges in the cooperation of super large reservoir groups based on a case-study, controlling the 4th and 5th floods (from Aug-14 to Aug-22), the efforts of technicians, multi-departments, and the state, and reflects on these. To realize the full potential of reservoir operation for the Yangtze River Basin and other basins with large reservoir groups globally, we suggest: (i) improve flood forecast accuracy with a long leading time; (ii) strengthen and further develop ongoing research on reservoir group cooperation; and (iii) improve and implement institutional mechanisms for coordinated operation of large reservoir groups.

摘要

2020 年 7 月至 8 月期间,中国长江流域发生了五次严重洪灾,位于长江中游的三峡水库遭遇了自建成以来的最大入库洪水。由长江上游 22 座梯级水库组成的世界上最大的梯级水库群实时合作防洪。该合作避免了 60 万人的撤离和大面积农田及水产养殖区的淹没。此外,在防洪期间没有发生泄洪,创下了三峡水电站年发电量的世界纪录。本研究通过案例分析描述了特大型水库群合作的决策挑战,以应对第四次和第五次洪水(8 月 14 日至 8 月 22 日),反映了技术人员、多部门和国家的努力。为了充分发挥长江流域及全球其他大型水库群的水库运行潜力,我们建议:(i)提高洪水预报的精度和提前量;(ii)加强和进一步发展水库群合作的现有研究;(iii)完善和实施大型水库群联合调度的制度机制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9508/8857279/5968ec39ba9f/41598_2022_6801_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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