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有限理性与启发式:在篮球比赛中,我们是否只需得分就能赢得个人奖项?

Bounded Rationality and Heuristics: Do We Only Need to Score in Order to Win Individual Awards in Basketball?

机构信息

School of Doctoral Studies, Hungarian University of Sports Science, 1123 Budapest, Hungary.

Sports Science Coordination Institute, University of Debrecen, 4032 Debrecen, Hungary.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Feb 18;19(4):2383. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19042383.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph19042383
PMID:35206568
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8872532/
Abstract

In the game of basketball game-related statistics are utilised to help decision makers to evaluate players' achievements. Previous research showed that in the case of individual awards, points are preferred over other indicators of effectiveness. Based on recent studies and following Simon's bounded rationality, in our interpretation, decision-makers decide on nominations at the post-grant level according to points scoring which is the easiest aspect to assess and the most familiar to them. In this context we also hypothesise that youth all-star players have better overall performance than their not selected teammates. To test our hypotheses we selected all of the youth awarded male players and their teammates from 2004 to 2019. In our sample, we examined = 3198 player statistics. Two groups were created with nominated and not selected players. We used a two-sample -test, and correlation matrix to examine the relationship between the variables ( < 0.001). We found that scoring is the most important selection criteria for decision-makers (r = 0.605; = 0.000) and the selected players had significantly better individual statistics. An important finding of our study is that although efficiency (EFF) is used to measure the players' contribution to the game, it is not the primary selection factor and should therefore be redefined.

摘要

在篮球比赛中,相关统计数据被用于帮助决策者评估球员的表现。之前的研究表明,在个人奖项的情况下,得分比其他有效性指标更受青睐。基于最近的研究并遵循西蒙的有限理性,在我们的解释中,决策者根据最容易评估和最熟悉的得分来决定事后提名,这是最简单的方面。在这种情况下,我们还假设青年全明星球员的整体表现优于他们未被选中的队友。为了检验我们的假设,我们从 2004 年到 2019 年选择了所有获得青年奖的男性球员及其队友。在我们的样本中,我们检查了 = 3198 名球员的统计数据。我们创建了两个组,一个是被提名的球员,另一个是未被选中的球员。我们使用了双样本 t 检验和相关矩阵来检查变量之间的关系(<0.001)。我们发现,得分是决策者最重要的选择标准(r = 0.605;= 0.000),并且被选中的球员的个人统计数据明显更好。我们研究的一个重要发现是,尽管效率(EFF)用于衡量球员对比赛的贡献,但它不是主要的选择因素,因此应该重新定义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bfac/8872532/043273e8a478/ijerph-19-02383-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bfac/8872532/043273e8a478/ijerph-19-02383-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bfac/8872532/043273e8a478/ijerph-19-02383-g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Modelling the Relationship between Match Outcome and Match Performances during the 2019 FIBA Basketball World Cup: A Quantile Regression Analysis.运用分位数回归分析探究 2019 年国际篮联篮球世界杯比赛结果与表现之间的关系
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