Rotevatn Torill A, Elstrøm Petter, Greve-Isdahl Margrethe, Surén Pål, Johansen Tone Kristin Bjordal, Astrup Elisabeth
Pediatrics. 2022 May 1;149(5). doi: 10.1542/peds.2021-055071.
To compare effects of school closures with effects of targeted infection prevention and control (IPC) measures in open schools on SARS-CoV-2 infection rates in students.
We conducted interrupted time-series analyses to compare trends in infection rates in grades 1-10 in 7 boroughs in Oslo, Norway, between February 15 and April 18, 2021. All schools at all levels had implemented strict IPC measures. While grades 1-4 attended school throughout the study period, school closures were implemented for grades 5-10 from March 17. We obtained individual level data from nationwide registries.
A total of 616, 452, and 446 students in grades 1-4, 5-7 and 8-10, respectively, were registered with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test during the study period, when the α-variant dominated. A statistically significant reduction in postintervention trends was observed for grades 1-4 (coefficient -1.26; 95% confidence interval (CI), -2.44 to -0.09). We did not observe any statistically significant between-group differences in postintervention trends between grades 1-4 and 5-7 (coefficient 0.66; 95% CI, -1.25 to 2.58) nor between grades 1-4 and 8-10 (coefficient -0.63; 95% CI, -2.30 to 1.04). Findings indicate that keeping schools open with strict IPC measures was equally effective as school closures on reducing student infection rates.
School closure was not more effective than targeted IPC measures in open schools in reducing student infection rates. Our findings suggest that keeping schools open with appropriate IPC measures should be preferred over school closures, considering the negative consequences closures have on students.
比较学校关闭措施与开放学校中针对性感染预防与控制(IPC)措施对学生感染严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的影响。
我们进行了中断时间序列分析,以比较2021年2月15日至4月18日期间挪威奥斯陆7个行政区1至10年级学生感染率的变化趋势。各级各类学校均实施了严格的IPC措施。在整个研究期间,1至4年级学生正常上课,而5至10年级自3月17日起实施学校关闭措施。我们从全国登记处获取了个体层面的数据。
在研究期间,当α变异株占主导时,分别有616名、452名和446名1至4年级、5至7年级和8至10年级的学生SARS-CoV-2检测呈阳性。观察到1至4年级干预后感染率趋势有统计学显著下降(系数-1.26;95%置信区间(CI),-2.44至-0.09)。我们未观察到1至4年级与5至7年级干预后感染率趋势存在任何统计学显著的组间差异(系数0.66;95%CI,-1.25至2.58),也未观察到1至4年级与8至10年级存在差异(系数-0.63;95%CI,-2.30至1.04)。研究结果表明,在实施严格IPC措施的情况下保持学校开放与学校关闭在降低学生感染率方面同样有效。
在降低学生感染率方面,学校关闭并不比开放学校中针对性的IPC措施更有效。我们的研究结果表明,考虑到学校关闭对学生的负面影响,采取适当的IPC措施保持学校开放应优于学校关闭。