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在21世纪,美国火灾的规模变得更大、频率更高、分布更广。

U.S. fires became larger, more frequent, and more widespread in the 2000s.

作者信息

Iglesias Virginia, Balch Jennifer K, Travis William R

机构信息

Earth Lab, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.

Department of Geography, University of Colorado, Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2022 Mar 18;8(11):eabc0020. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abc0020. Epub 2022 Mar 16.

Abstract

Recent fires have fueled concerns that regional and global warming trends are leading to more extreme burning. We found compelling evidence that average fire events in regions of the United States are up to four times the size, triple the frequency, and more widespread in the 2000s than in the previous two decades. Moreover, the most extreme fires are also larger, more common, and more likely to co-occur with other extreme fires. This documented shift in burning patterns across most of the country aligns with the palpable change in fire dynamics noted by the media, public, and fire-fighting officials.

摘要

近期的火灾引发了人们对区域和全球变暖趋势正导致更极端燃烧情况的担忧。我们发现了令人信服的证据,即美国各地区的平均火灾事件在规模上比前二十年增大了四倍,在发生频率上增加了两倍,且在21世纪比前二十年更为广泛。此外,最极端的火灾规模更大、更常见,并且更有可能与其他极端火灾同时发生。在该国大部分地区记录到的这种燃烧模式的转变与媒体、公众和消防官员所指出的火灾动态方面明显的变化相一致。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b243/8926334/6fb287455f5c/sciadv.abc0020-f1.jpg

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