Owen Julian, Owen Robin, Hughes Jessica, Leach Josh, Anderson Dior, Jones Eleri
Institute of Applied Human Physiology, School of Human and Behavioural Science, Bangor University, Bangor LL572DG, UK.
School of Health and Sport Sciences, Liverpool Hope University, Liverpool L169JD, UK.
Sports (Basel). 2022 Feb 28;10(3):35. doi: 10.3390/sports10030035.
Talent selection programmes choose athletes for talent development pathways. Currently, the set of psychosocial variables that determine talent selection in youth Rugby Union are unknown, with the literature almost exclusively focusing on physiological variables. The purpose of this study was to use a novel machine learning approach to identify the physiological and psychosocial models that predict selection to a regional age-grade rugby union team. Age-grade club rugby players ( = 104; age, 15.47 ± 0.80; U16, = 62; U18, = 42) were assessed for physiological and psychosocial factors during regional talent selection days. Predictive models (selected vs. non-selected) were created for forwards, backs, and across all players using Bayesian machine learning. The generated physiological models correctly classified 67.55% of all players, 70.09% of forwards, and 62.50% of backs. Greater hand-grip strength, faster 10 m and 40 m sprint, and power were common features for selection. The generated psychosocial models correctly classified 62.26% of all players, 73.66% of forwards, and 60.42% of backs. Reduced burnout, reduced emotional exhaustion, and lower reduced sense of accomplishment, were common features for selection. Selection appears to be predominantly based on greater strength, speed, and power, as well as lower athlete burnout.
人才选拔计划为运动员选择人才培养路径。目前,决定青少年英式橄榄球联盟人才选拔的心理社会变量尚不明确,相关文献几乎只关注生理变量。本研究的目的是使用一种新颖的机器学习方法来识别预测入选地区年龄组英式橄榄球联盟球队的生理和心理社会模型。在地区人才选拔日期间,对年龄组俱乐部橄榄球运动员(n = 104;年龄,15.47 ± 0.80岁;U16组,n = 62;U18组,n = 42)的生理和心理社会因素进行了评估。使用贝叶斯机器学习为前锋、后卫以及所有球员创建了预测模型(入选与未入选)。生成的生理模型正确分类了67.55%的所有球员、70.09%的前锋和62.50%的后卫。更大的握力、更快的10米和40米冲刺速度以及力量是入选的共同特征。生成的心理社会模型正确分类了62.26%的所有球员、73.66%的前锋和60.42%的后卫。倦怠减轻、情绪耗竭减轻和成就感降低是入选的共同特征。选拔似乎主要基于更强的力量、速度和功率,以及更低的运动员倦怠程度。