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对一家英国足球学院人才培养过程的多学科调查:一种机器学习方法。

A Multidisciplinary Investigation into the Talent Development Processes at an English Football Academy: A Machine Learning Approach.

作者信息

Kelly Adam L, Williams Craig A, Cook Rob, Sáiz Sergio Lorenzo Jiménez, Wilson Mark R

机构信息

Research Centre for Life and Sport Sciences (CLaSS), Faculty of Health, Education and Life Sciences, Birmingham City University, Birmingham B15 3TN, West Midlands, UK.

Children's Health and Exercise, Research Centre and Sport and Health Sciences, College of Life & Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter EX1 2LU, Devon, UK.

出版信息

Sports (Basel). 2022 Oct 19;10(10):159. doi: 10.3390/sports10100159.

Abstract

The talent development processes in youth football are both complex and multidimensional. The purpose of this two-fold study was to apply a multidisciplinary, machine learning approach to examine: (a) the developmental characteristics of under-9 to under-16 academy players ( = 98; Study 1), and (b) the characteristics of selected and deselected under-18 academy players ( = 18; Study 2). A combined total of 53 factors cumulated from eight data collection methods across two seasons were analysed. A cross-validated Lasso regression was implemented, using the glmnet package in R, to analyse the factors that contributed to: (a) player review ratings (Study 1), and (b) achieving a professional contract (Study 2). Results showed non-zero coefficients for improvement in subjective performance in 15 out of the 53 analysed features, with key findings revealing advanced percentage of predicted adult height (0.196), greater lob pass (0.160) and average dribble completion percentage (0.124), more total match-play hours (0.145), and an older relative age (BQ1 vs. BQ2: -0.133; BQ1 vs. BQ4: -0.060) were the most important features that contributed towards player review ratings. Moreover, PCDEQ Factor 3 and an ability to organise and engage in quality practice (PCDEQ Factor 4) were important contributing factors towards achieving a professional contract. Overall, it appears the key factors associated with positive developmental outcomes are not always technical and tactical in nature, where coaches often have their expertise. Indeed, the relative importance of these factors is likely to change over time, and with age, although psychological attributes appear to be key to reaching potential across the academy journey. The methodological techniques used here also serve as an impetus for researchers to adopt a machine learning approach when analysing multidimensional databases.

摘要

青少年足球人才培养过程既复杂又具有多维度性。这项分为两部分的研究旨在运用多学科的机器学习方法来考察:(a) 9岁至16岁青训营球员的发展特征(n = 98;研究1),以及 (b) 18岁青训营入选和落选球员的特征(n = 18;研究2)。对两个赛季通过八种数据收集方法累积的总共53个因素进行了分析。使用R语言中的glmnet软件包进行了交叉验证的套索回归分析,以确定有助于:(a) 球员评估评分(研究1),以及 (b) 获得职业合同(研究2)的因素。结果显示,在分析的53个特征中,有15个特征的主观表现改善系数不为零,主要发现表明,预测成年身高的进展百分比(0.196)、更多的高抛传球(0.160)和平均盘带完成率(0.124)、更多的总比赛时长(0.145)以及相对年龄较大(BQ1与BQ2相比:-0.133;BQ1与BQ4相比:-0.060)是对球员评估评分最重要的特征。此外,PCDEQ因素3以及组织和参与高质量训练的能力(PCDEQ因素4)是获得职业合同的重要促成因素。总体而言,与积极发展成果相关的关键因素似乎并不总是教练通常擅长的技术和战术方面的。实际上,这些因素的相对重要性可能会随着时间和年龄而变化,尽管心理属性似乎是在整个青训营历程中发挥潜力的关键。这里使用的方法技术也促使研究人员在分析多维度数据库时采用机器学习方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e57b/9611883/2c01f216937e/sports-10-00159-g001.jpg

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