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中国和巴西在两次新冠疫情防控中的比较。

Comparison Between China and Brazil in the Two Waves of COVID-19 Prevention and Control.

机构信息

Department of Health Management, School of Health Management, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510515, People's Republic of China.

Department of Health Policy and Management, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA.

出版信息

J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2022 Jun;12(2):168-181. doi: 10.1007/s44197-022-00036-6. Epub 2022 Mar 30.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study analyzes the effectiveness of COVID-19 prevention and control in China and Brazil from the perspectives of policy and meteorological conditions, and provides experience for epidemic prevention and control.

METHODS

This study collects data on meteorological conditions, vaccination and mutant strains in the two countries to analyze the reasons for the differences in epidemic status between the two countries and extracts public data on COVID-19 through various official websites, summarizes the prevention and control policies implemented by the two countries, and evaluates their effectiveness.

RESULTS

As of August 12, 2021, the total number of COVID-19 cases and the daily number of new COVID-19 cases in China have been growing steadily, showing remarkable results in epidemic control. The total number of confirmed cases and the daily number of new confirmed cases in Brazil have continued to increase rapidly. The total death case in Brazil has reached 560,000, far exceeding that in China, and the effect of epidemic prevention and control is not satisfactory.

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple factors, such as meteorological conditions, policies and strategies, and economic conditions, can influence the spread of COVID-19, and therefore, the situation varies greatly from country to country. China and Brazil have chosen different interventions in the fight against COVID-19. The policy measures taken by China are typical containment measures and Brazil has a mitigation strategy. From the perspective of the current situation of the epidemic development in both countries, the cumulative death rate and daily new confirmed cases in Brazil are much higher than those in China, which indicates that the containment strategy is more effective than mitigation strategy in preventing and controlling COVID-19. Fighting the epidemic is a global long-lasting battle, and the two countries should learn from each other with the premise of respecting their national conditions. Countries should deepen cooperation and not let up prematurely.

摘要

目的

本研究从政策和气象条件的角度分析中国和巴西的 COVID-19 防控效果,为疫情防控提供经验。

方法

本研究收集了两国的气象条件、疫苗接种和变异株数据,分析了两国疫情状况差异的原因,并通过各种官方网站提取了 COVID-19 的公开数据,总结了两国实施的防控政策,并评估了其效果。

结果

截至 2021 年 8 月 12 日,中国的 COVID-19 累计病例和日新增病例呈稳步增长态势,疫情防控效果显著。巴西的累计确诊病例和日新增确诊病例持续快速增加。巴西的累计死亡病例已达 56 万,远超中国,疫情防控效果不佳。

结论

气象条件、政策策略、经济条件等多种因素都会影响 COVID-19 的传播,因此各国的情况差异很大。中国和巴西在抗击 COVID-19 方面选择了不同的干预措施。中国采取的政策措施是典型的遏制措施,而巴西则采取了缓解策略。从两国疫情发展的现状来看,巴西的累计死亡率和日新增确诊病例均高于中国,这表明在预防和控制 COVID-19 方面,遏制策略比缓解策略更为有效。抗击疫情是一场全球持久战,两国应在尊重国情的前提下相互学习。各国应深化合作,切勿过早放松警惕。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fcdc/9209567/0394654ea9d4/44197_2022_36_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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