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2020 年第 12 周前的巴西新型冠状病毒肺炎和严重急性呼吸道感染住院情况比较。

COVID-19 and hospitalizations for SARI in Brazil: a comparison up to the 12th epidemiological week of 2020.

机构信息

Programa de Computação Científica, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil.

Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K.

出版信息

Cad Saude Publica. 2020 Apr 22;36(4):e00070120. doi: 10.1590/0102-311X00070120. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Surveillance of the severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) in Brazil aims to characterize the circulation of the Influenza A and B viruses in hospitalized cases and deaths, having been expanded in 2012 to include other respiratory viruses. COVID-19 was detected in Brazil for the time in the 9th epidemiological week of 2020, and the test for the SARS-CoV-2 virus was included in the surveillance protocol starting in the 12th epidemiological week. This study's objective was to investigate the pattern of hospitalizations for SARI in Brazil since the entry of SARS-CoV-2, comparing the temporal and age profiles and laboratory results to the years 2010 through 2019. In 2020, hospitalizations for SARI, compiled from the date of the first confirmed case of COVID-19 up to the 12th week, exceeded the numbers observed during the same period in each of the previous 10 years. The age bracket over 60 years was the most heavily affected, at higher than historical levels. There was a considerable increase in negative laboratory tests, suggesting circulation of a different virus from those already present in the panel. We concluded that the increase in hospitalizations for SARI, the lack of specific information on the etiological agent, and the predominance of cases among the elderly during the same period in which there was an increase in the number of new cases of COVID-19 are all consistent with the hypothesis that severe cases of COVID-19 are already being detected by SARI surveillance, placing an overload on the health system. The inclusion of testing for SARS-CoV-2 in the SARI surveillance protocol and the test's effective nationwide deployment are extremely important for monitoring the evolution of severe COVID-19 cases in Brazil.

摘要

巴西对严重急性呼吸道疾病(SARI)的监测旨在描述住院病例和死亡病例中甲型和乙型流感病毒的传播情况,该监测于 2012 年扩大范围,纳入了其他呼吸道病毒。2020 年第 9 周,巴西首次发现了 COVID-19,从第 12 周开始,SARS-CoV-2 病毒检测纳入了监测方案。本研究的目的是调查自 SARS-CoV-2 进入巴西以来 SARI 住院的模式,将时间和年龄分布以及实验室结果与 2010 年至 2019 年进行比较。2020 年,从首例 COVID-19 确诊病例之日至第 12 周汇编的 SARI 住院病例数超过了前 10 年同期的观察值。60 岁以上年龄组受影响最严重,高于历史水平。实验室阴性检测数量大幅增加,表明流行的病毒与监测面板中已有的病毒不同。我们得出结论,SARI 住院病例的增加、病因不明以及同期老年病例的增加,与假设严重的 COVID-19 病例已通过 SARI 监测发现的情况相一致,这给卫生系统带来了压力。在 SARI 监测方案中纳入 SARS-CoV-2 检测以及在全国范围内有效部署该检测对于监测巴西严重 COVID-19 病例的演变极为重要。

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