Black W C, Armstrong P
AJR Am J Roentgenol. 1986 Dec;147(6):1313-8. doi: 10.2214/ajr.147.6.1313.
The likelihood ratio is a useful but simple concept that helps the radiologist communicate to the clinician the significance of radiologic findings. It is defined as the ratio of the probabilities of a particular test result among patients with and without disease. Readily derivable from sensitivity and specificity, the likelihood ratio represents the degree to which a test result is positive or negative and serves as a proportionality constant that relates the pre- and posttest odds of disease in a linear manner. The linearity of the relationship permits the impact of a test result to be easily understood and allows for the integration of additional test results. The concept of likelihood ratio is explained in straightforward algebraic terms, and its practical application to clinical radiology is demonstrated by using several specific medical examples.
似然比是一个有用但简单的概念,它有助于放射科医生向临床医生传达影像学检查结果的重要性。它被定义为患有疾病和未患有疾病的患者中特定检查结果的概率之比。似然比可从敏感性和特异性轻松推导得出,它表示检查结果为阳性或阴性的程度,并作为一个比例常数,以线性方式关联疾病的检验前和检验后比值比。这种关系的线性使得检查结果的影响易于理解,并允许整合其他检查结果。似然比的概念用简单的代数术语进行解释,并通过几个具体的医学实例展示了其在临床放射学中的实际应用。