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高海拔通过气象和环境因素缓解 COVID-19 的传播风险:来自中国的证据。

High altitude Relieves transmission risks of COVID-19 through meteorological and environmental factors: Evidence from China.

机构信息

Gansu Key Laboratory of Biomonitoring and Bioremediation for Environmental Pollution, School of Life Sciences, Lanzhou University, Tianshui South Road #222, Lanzhou, Gansu, 730000, PR China.

Key Laboratory for Biological Therapy and Regenerative Medicine Transformation Gansu Province, Lanzhou, PR China.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2022 Sep;212(Pt B):113214. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113214. Epub 2022 Apr 9.

Abstract

Existing studies reported higher altitudes reduce the COVID-19 infection rate in the United States, Colombia, and Peru. However, the underlying reasons for this phenomenon remain unclear. In this study, regression analysis and mediating effect model were used in a combination to explore the altitudes relation with the pattern of transmission under their correlation factors. The preliminary linear regression analysis indicated a negative correlation between altitudes and COVID-19 infection in China. In contrast to environmental factors from low-altitude regions (<1500 m), high-altitude regions (>1500 m) exhibited lower PM2.5, average temperature (AT), and mobility, accompanied by high SO and absolute humidity (AH). Non-linear regression analysis further revealed that COVID-19 confirmed cases had a positive correlation with mobility, AH, and AT, whereas negatively correlated with SO, CO, and DTR. Subsequent mediating effect model with altitude-correlated factors, such as mobility, AT, AH, DTR and SO, suffice to discriminate the COVID-19 infection rate between low- and high-altitude regions. The mentioned evidence advance our understanding of the altitude-mediated COVID-19 transmission mechanism.

摘要

现有研究报告称,美国、哥伦比亚和秘鲁的高海拔地区新冠感染率较低。然而,这种现象的根本原因尚不清楚。在这项研究中,回归分析和中介效应模型结合使用,以探讨在相关因素下,海拔与传播模式之间的关系。初步线性回归分析表明,中国的海拔与新冠感染之间呈负相关。与低海拔地区(<1500 米)的环境因素不同,高海拔地区(>1500 米)的 PM2.5、平均温度(AT)和流动性较低,而 SO 和绝对湿度(AH)较高。非线性回归分析进一步表明,新冠确诊病例与流动性、AH 和 AT 呈正相关,而与 SO、CO 和 DTR 呈负相关。随后的带有海拔相关因素(如流动性、AT、AH、DTR 和 SO)的中介效应模型足以区分低海拔和高海拔地区的新冠感染率。上述证据增进了我们对海拔介导的新冠传播机制的理解。

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