The Role of Myocardial Fiber Direction in Epicardial Activation Patterns via Uncertainty Quantification.

Fiber structure governs the spread of excitation in the heart; however, little is known about the effects of physiological variability in fiber orientation on epicardial activation. To investigate these effects, we implemented ventricular simulations of activation using rule-based fiber orientations, and robust uncertainty quantification algorithms to capture detailed maps of model sensitivity. Specifically, we implemented polynomial chaos expansion, which allows for robust exploration with reduced computational demand through an emulator function to approximate the underlying forward model. We applied these techniques to examine the activation sequence of the heart in response to both epicardial and endocardial stimuli within the left ventricular free wall and variations in fiber orientation. Our results showed that physiological variation in fiber orientation does not significantly impact the location of activation features, but it does impact the overall spread of activation. Future studies will investigate under which circumstances physiological changes in fiber orientation might alter electrical propagation such that the resulting simulations produce misleading outcomes.