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使用机器学习技术通过抑郁症状和社会隔离来预测自杀意念的有效性。

The Effectiveness of Predicting Suicidal Ideation through Depressive Symptoms and Social Isolation Using Machine Learning Techniques.

作者信息

Kim Sunhae, Lee Kounseok

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, Hanyang University Medical Center, Seoul 04763, Korea.

出版信息

J Pers Med. 2022 Mar 22;12(4):516. doi: 10.3390/jpm12040516.

Abstract

(1) Background: Social isolation is a major risk factor for suicidal ideation. In this study, we investigated whether the evaluation of both depression and social isolation in combination could effectively predict suicidal ideation; (2) Methods: A total of 7994 data collected from community residents were analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed using age, the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and the Lubben Social Network Scale as predictors as the dependent variables for suicidal ideation; machine learning (ML) methods K-Nearest Neighbors, Random Forest, and Neural Network Classification were used; (3) Results: The prediction of suicidal ideation using depression and social isolation showed high area under the curve (0.643-0.836) and specificity (0.959-0.987) in all ML techniques. In the predictor model (model 2) that additionally evaluated social isolation, the validation accuracy consistently increased compared to the depression-only model (model 1); (4) Conclusions: It is confirmed that the machine learning technique using depression and social isolation can be an effective method when predicting suicidal ideation.

摘要

(1)背景:社会隔离是自杀意念的一个主要风险因素。在本研究中,我们调查了综合评估抑郁和社会隔离是否能有效预测自杀意念;(2)方法:对从社区居民收集的7994份数据进行分析。使用年龄、患者健康问卷-9和鲁本社会网络量表作为预测因子,以自杀意念作为因变量进行统计分析;使用机器学习(ML)方法,即K近邻、随机森林和神经网络分类;(3)结果:在所有ML技术中,使用抑郁和社会隔离对自杀意念进行预测显示出较高的曲线下面积(0.643 - 0.836)和特异性(0.959 - 0.987)。在额外评估社会隔离的预测模型(模型2)中,与仅使用抑郁的模型(模型1)相比,验证准确率持续提高;(4)结论:证实了使用抑郁和社会隔离的机器学习技术在预测自杀意念时可以是一种有效的方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8e18/9028081/41db0f60f1fb/jpm-12-00516-g001.jpg

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