Institute for Health and Sport, Victoria University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Game Insight Group, Tennis Australia, Melbourne, Australia.
Sports Med. 2022 Oct;52(10):2303-2314. doi: 10.1007/s40279-022-01694-z. Epub 2022 May 27.
Elite sport offers a suitable setting to understand the ability to anticipate future events-a phenomenon that is central to animal life. Critically, however, whilst anticipation in sport has been studied for several decades, there have been few attempts to understand its development throughout childhood and adolescence. Additionally, whilst it is widely acknowledged that the need to anticipate emerges from temporal pressure, there has been no effort to understand the nonlinear effect that temporal demands have on the development of anticipatory skill. This is important as its consequences have different implications for sports authorities compared to an individual player. To bridge the gap in our understanding, this article draws attention to the mathematical concepts of concavity and convexity to explain the nonlinear relationship between temporal demands and the development of anticipatory skill. This viewpoint has implications for the design of junior sport, including the modification of rules, which has gained worldwide interest in recent years.
精英体育为理解预测未来事件的能力提供了一个合适的环境——这是动物生活的核心现象。然而，至关重要的是，尽管几十年来一直研究运动中的预测，但几乎没有尝试去理解其在儿童和青少年时期的发展。此外，尽管人们普遍认识到，对预测的需求源于时间压力，但还没有人努力去理解时间需求对预测技能发展的非线性影响。这一点很重要，因为与单个运动员相比，其后果对体育主管部门有不同的影响。为了弥合我们理解上的差距，本文提请注意凹性和凸性的数学概念，以解释时间需求与预测技能发展之间的非线性关系。这种观点对青少年体育的设计具有重要意义，包括近年来在全球范围内引起广泛关注的规则修改。
