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新冠疫情期间对兰德/加州大学洛杉矶分校改良德尔菲专家小组法的一种改编

An Adaptation of the RAND/UCLA Modified Delphi Panel Method in the Time of COVID-19.

作者信息

Broder Michael S, Gibbs Sarah N, Yermilov Irina

机构信息

Outcomes Research, Partnership for Health Analytic Research (PHAR), LLC, Beverly Hills, CA, USA.

出版信息

J Healthc Leadersh. 2022 May 20;14:63-70. doi: 10.2147/JHL.S352500. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The RAND/UCLA modified Delphi panel method is a formal group consensus process that systematically and quantitatively combines expert opinion and evidence by asking panelists to rate, discuss, then re-rate items. The method has been used to develop medical society guidelines, other clinical practice guidelines, disease classification systems, research agendas, and quality improvement interventions. Traditionally, a group of experts meet in person to discuss results of a first-round survey. After the meeting, experts complete a second-round survey used to develop areas of consensus. During the COVID-19 pandemic, this aspect of the method was not possible. As such, we have adapted the method to conduct virtual RAND/UCLA modified Delphi panels. In this study, we present a targeted literature review to describe and summarize the existing evidence on the RAND/UCLA modified Delphi panel method and outline our adaptation for conducting these panels virtually. Transitioning from in-person to virtual meetings was not without challenges, but there have also been unexpected advantages. The method we describe here can be a cost-effective and efficient alternative for researchers and clinicians.

摘要

兰德/加州大学洛杉矶分校改良德尔菲小组法是一种正式的群体共识达成过程,通过要求小组成员对项目进行评分、讨论,然后重新评分,系统地、定量地整合专家意见和证据。该方法已被用于制定医学协会指南、其他临床实践指南、疾病分类系统、研究议程和质量改进干预措施。传统上,一组专家会亲自开会讨论第一轮调查的结果。会议结束后,专家们完成第二轮调查,以确定达成共识的领域。在新冠疫情期间,该方法的这一方面无法实现。因此,我们对该方法进行了调整,以开展虚拟的兰德/加州大学洛杉矶分校改良德尔菲小组。在本研究中,我们进行了有针对性的文献综述,以描述和总结关于兰德/加州大学洛杉矶分校改良德尔菲小组法的现有证据,并概述我们对虚拟开展这些小组的调整。从面对面会议过渡到虚拟会议并非没有挑战,但也有一些意想不到的优势。我们在此描述的方法对于研究人员和临床医生来说可能是一种经济高效的替代方案。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d23b/9130741/dc6763698f0c/JHL-14-63-g0001.jpg

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