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2019年全球新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)快速传播的系统分析。在全球气候变化的情况下,我们能否避免未来的大流行?

System analysis of the fast global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread. Can we avoid future pandemics under global climate change?

作者信息

Volkov Vadim

机构信息

Research Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences, K.A. Timiriazev Institute of Plant Physiology RAS, Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Commun Integr Biol. 2022 May 30;15(1):150-157. doi: 10.1080/19420889.2022.2082735. eCollection 2022.

DOI:10.1080/19420889.2022.2082735
PMID:35656201
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9154790/
Abstract

The recent fast global spread of COVID-19 caused by a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) questions why and how the disease managed to be so effective against existing health protection measures. These measures, developed by many countries over centuries and strengthened over the last decades, proved to be ineffective against COVID-19. The sharp increase in human longevity and current transport systems in economically developing countries with the background of persisting cultural frameworks and stable local pools of high bacterial and viral mutations generated the wide gap between the established health protection systems and the new emerging diseases. SARS-CoV-2 targets human populations over the world with long incubation periods, often without symptoms, and serious outcomes. Hence, novel strategies are necessary to meet the demands of developing economic and social environments. Moreover, the ongoing climate change adds extra challenges while altering the existing system of interactions in biological populations and in human society. Climate change may lead to new sources of viral and microbial mutations, new ways of zoonotic disease transmission and to huge social and economic transformations in many countries. The present short Opinion applies a system approach linking biomedical, climate change, social and economic aspects and, accordingly, discusses the measures and more efficient means to avoid future pandemics.

摘要

由严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)引起的新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)近期在全球迅速传播,这引发了人们对该疾病为何以及如何能够如此有效地突破现有卫生防护措施的质疑。这些历经多个世纪由许多国家制定并在过去几十年不断强化的措施,在COVID-19面前却显得无能为力。在持续的文化框架以及稳定的高细菌和病毒突变本地库的背景下,经济发展中国家人类寿命的急剧增长和当前的交通系统,使得既定的卫生防护系统与新出现的疾病之间产生了巨大差距。SARS-CoV-2以潜伏期长、通常无症状且后果严重的特点针对全球人群。因此,需要新的策略来满足经济和社会环境发展的需求。此外,持续的气候变化在改变生物种群和人类社会现有互动系统的同时,带来了额外的挑战。气候变化可能导致病毒和微生物突变的新来源、人畜共患病传播的新途径,并在许多国家引发巨大的社会和经济变革。本简短的观点文章采用系统方法,将生物医学、气候变化、社会和经济方面联系起来,并据此讨论避免未来大流行的措施和更有效的方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e665/9154790/c7603088b00a/KCIB_A_2082735_F0002_OC.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e665/9154790/43e1c063ea28/KCIB_A_2082735_F0001_OC.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e665/9154790/c7603088b00a/KCIB_A_2082735_F0002_OC.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e665/9154790/43e1c063ea28/KCIB_A_2082735_F0001_OC.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e665/9154790/c7603088b00a/KCIB_A_2082735_F0002_OC.jpg

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