Predictors of lethality in severe leptospirosis in Transcarpathian region of Ukraine.

Leptospirosis is one of the most widespread zoonoses in the Transcarpathian region, with an average lethality of 12.5%. To determine the predictors of lethality, a retrospective study of 97 medical records of patients with leptospirosis in the period from 2009 to 2018 was conducted. Quantitative variables in the presence of normal distribution were compared using a paired Student's t-test, and in the case of an abnormal distribution, the Mann-Whitney U test was used. The criterion χ was used for qualitative variables. Multivariate analysis was used for the calculation of the Odds ratio. The following factors that are associated with death from leptospirosis have been identified: total bilirubin greater than 300 mcmol/L (OR, 4.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.57-11.53), platelets less than 50 × (10/L) (OR, 3.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.45-10.73), creatinine above 200 mcmol/L (OR, 1.95; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.47-2.60) and jaundice (OR, 1.39; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.21-1.60). Detection of these predictors will help to quickly identify a patient at risk of severe course of the disease and death, which will allow deciding on the use of early intensive care.