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模拟新冠疫情对欧洲消费和流动性的影响:迈向可持续商业表现的遗产。

Modeling COVID-19 Impact on Consumption and Mobility in Europe: A Legacy Toward Sustainable Business Performance.

作者信息

Ameer Waqar, Chau Ka Yin, Mumtaz Nosheen, Irfan Muhammad, Mumtaz Ayesha

机构信息

Economics School of Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai, China.

Faculty of Business, City University of Macau, Macao, Macao SAR, China.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2022 May 31;13:862854. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.862854. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

This article has explored the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-induced decline in consumer durables and mobility on nitrogen dioxide (NO) emission in Europe by providing empirical and graphical justifications based on consumer price index (CPI) and gross domestic product (GDP) deflator indexes. The empirical estimations show that carbon dioxide (CO) and NO emission along with other greenhouse gases drastically decreased in the wake of COVID-19-induced lockdowns and decrease in the demand of consumer goods in Europe. This means that COVID-19 improved environment in the European region. However, high cost (e.g., unemployment, loss of life, and social segregation) makes COVID-19 an unstable solution to environmental woes where positive impact of COVID-19 on environment achieved in short run cannot be guaranteed in the long run. Besides environment, COVID-19 drastically curtailed economic activities and exposed them to the risk of economic crisis particularly in case of Europe.

摘要

本文通过基于消费者价格指数(CPI)和国内生产总值(GDP)平减指数提供实证和图表依据,探讨了2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)导致的耐用消费品和流动性下降对欧洲二氧化氮(NO)排放的影响。实证估计表明,在COVID-19引发的封锁以及欧洲消费品需求下降之后,二氧化碳(CO)和NO排放以及其他温室气体大幅减少。这意味着COVID-19改善了欧洲地区的环境。然而,高成本(如失业、生命损失和社会隔离)使得COVID-19成为解决环境问题的不稳定方案,从长远来看,无法保证COVID-19在短期内对环境产生的积极影响能持续下去。除了环境方面,COVID-19还大幅缩减了经济活动,并使它们面临经济危机的风险,欧洲的情况尤其如此。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0c9a/9195302/8f7d8b69583b/fpsyg-13-862854-g0001.jpg

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