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新冠疫情封锁使粤港澳大湾区和旧金山湾区的人类流动模式都发生了变化。

COVID-19 lockdown introduces human mobility pattern changes for both Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao greater bay area and the San Francisco bay area.

作者信息

Zhong Leiyang, Zhou Ying, Gao Song, Yu Zhaoyang, Ma Zhifeng, Li Xiaoming, Yue Yang, Xia Jizhe

机构信息

Guangdong Key Laboratory of Urban Informatics, and Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Smart Sensing and Service, School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China.

Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR), Key Laboratory for Geo-Environmental Monitoring of Great Bay Area, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China.

出版信息

Int J Appl Earth Obs Geoinf. 2022 Aug;112:102848. doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2022.102848. Epub 2022 Jun 20.

Abstract

In response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, various countries have sought to control COVID-19 transmission by introducing non-pharmaceutical interventions. Restricting population mobility, by introducing social distancing, is one of the most widely used non-pharmaceutical interventions. Although similar population mobility restriction interventions were introduced, their impacts on COVID-19 transmission are often inconsistent across different regions and different time periods. These differences may provide critical information for tailoring COVID-19 control strategies. In this paper, anonymized high spatiotemporal resolution mobile-phone location data were employed to empirically analyze and quantify the impact of lockdowns on population mobility. Both the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) in China and the San Francisco Bay Area (SBA) in the United States were studied. In response to the lockdowns, a general reduction in population mobility was observed, but the structural changes in mobility are very different between the two bays: 1) GBA mobility decreased by approximately 74.0-80.1% while the decrease of SBA was about 25.0-42.1%; 2) compared to SBA, the GBA had smoother volatility in daily volume during the lockdown. The volatility change indexes for GBA and SBA were 2.55% and 7.52%, respectively; 3) the effect of lockdown on short- to long-distance mobility was similar in GBA while the medium- and long-distance impact was more pronounced in SBA.

摘要

为应对2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行,各国纷纷寻求通过采取非药物干预措施来控制COVID-19的传播。实施社交距离措施以限制人口流动是最广泛使用的非药物干预措施之一。尽管各国都采取了类似的人口流动限制干预措施,但其对COVID-19传播的影响在不同地区和不同时间段往往并不一致。这些差异可能为制定COVID-19防控策略提供关键信息。本文利用匿名的高时空分辨率手机位置数据,对封锁措施对人口流动的影响进行实证分析和量化。研究对象包括中国的粤港澳大湾区(GBA)和美国的旧金山湾区(SBA)。结果发现,在实施封锁措施后,两个湾区的人口流动均普遍减少,但流动结构变化差异很大:1)粤港澳大湾区的人口流动减少了约74.0%-80.1%,而旧金山湾区的减少幅度约为25.0%-42.1%;2)与旧金山湾区相比,粤港澳大湾区在封锁期间的日流量波动更为平稳。粤港澳大湾区和旧金山湾区的波动变化指数分别为2.55%和7.52%;3)封锁措施对粤港澳大湾区短距离到长距离流动的影响相似,而对旧金山湾区中长距离流动的影响更为明显。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cfe7/9212878/627ac0b201b8/gr1_lrg.jpg

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