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传统 COVID-19 电话分诊系统和电话分诊驱动的深度学习模型的准确性。

Accuracy of the Traditional COVID-19 Phone Triaging System and Phone Triage-Driven Deep Learning Model.

机构信息

Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt.

Benha University, Cairo, Egypt.

出版信息

J Prim Care Community Health. 2022 Jan-Dec;13:21501319221113544. doi: 10.1177/21501319221113544.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

During the COVID-19 pandemic, a quick and reliable phone-triage system is critical for early care and efficient distribution of hospital resources. The study aimed to assess the accuracy of the traditional phone-triage system and phone triage-driven deep learning model in the prediction of positive COVID-19 patients.

SETTING

This is a retrospective study conducted at the family medicine department, Cairo University.

METHODS

The study included a dataset of 943 suspected COVID-19 patients from the phone triage during the first wave of the pandemic. The accuracy of the phone triaging system was assessed. PCR-dependent and phone triage-driven deep learning model for automated classifications of natural human responses was conducted.

RESULTS

Based on the RT-PCR results, we found that myalgia, fever, and contact with a case with respiratory symptoms had the highest sensitivity among the symptoms/ risk factors that were asked during the phone calls (86.3%, 77.5%, and 75.1%, respectively). While immunodeficiency, smoking, and loss of smell or taste had the highest specificity (96.9%, 83.6%, and 74.0%, respectively). The positive predictive value (PPV) of phone triage was 48.4%. The classification accuracy achieved by the deep learning model was 66%, while the PPV was 70.5%.

CONCLUSION

Phone triage and deep learning models are feasible and convenient tools for screening COVID-19 patients. Using the deep learning models for symptoms screening will help to provide the proper medical care as early as possible for those at a higher risk of developing severe illness paving the way for a more efficient allocation of the scanty health resources.

摘要

目的

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,快速可靠的电话分诊系统对于早期护理和有效分配医院资源至关重要。本研究旨在评估传统电话分诊系统和电话分诊驱动的深度学习模型在预测 COVID-19 阳性患者方面的准确性。

背景

这是一项在开罗大学家庭医学系进行的回顾性研究。

方法

本研究纳入了大流行第一波期间电话分诊的 943 例疑似 COVID-19 患者。评估了电话分诊系统的准确性。进行了基于 PCR 的和电话分诊驱动的深度学习模型,以对自然人类反应进行自动分类。

结果

根据 RT-PCR 结果,我们发现电话询问过程中出现的肌肉疼痛、发热和与有呼吸道症状的病例接触的症状/危险因素的敏感性最高(分别为 86.3%、77.5%和 75.1%)。而免疫功能低下、吸烟和嗅觉或味觉丧失的特异性最高(分别为 96.9%、83.6%和 74.0%)。电话分诊的阳性预测值(PPV)为 48.4%。深度学习模型的分类准确性为 66%,PPV 为 70.5%。

结论

电话分诊和深度学习模型是筛查 COVID-19 患者的可行且方便的工具。使用深度学习模型进行症状筛查将有助于尽早为那些有发展为严重疾病高风险的患者提供适当的医疗护理,为稀缺卫生资源的更有效分配铺平道路。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8fab/9310285/5f99d1d6e5c0/10.1177_21501319221113544-fig1.jpg

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