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估算野猪尸体抽样工作量的变化:通过 使用工具来实施 EFSA 野猪退场策略。

Changes in Estimating the Wild Boar Carcasses Sampling Effort: Applying the EFSA ASF Exit Strategy by Means of the Tool.

机构信息

Osservatorio Epidemiologico Veterinario Regionale (OEVR), Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale della Sardegna, 09125 Cagliari, Italy.

Department of Cardiac Thoracic Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padova, 35131 Padova, Italy.

出版信息

Viruses. 2022 Jun 28;14(7):1424. doi: 10.3390/v14071424.

Abstract

African swine fever (ASF) is a devastating disease, resulting in the high mortality of domestic and wild pigs, spreading quickly around the world. Ensuring the prevention and early detection of the disease is even more crucial given the absence of licensed vaccines. As suggested by the European Commission, those countries which intend to provide evidence of freedom need to speed up passive surveillance of their wild boar populations. If this kind of surveillance is well-regulated in domestic pig farms, the country-specific activities to be put in place for wild populations need to be set based on wild boar density, hunting bags, the environment, and financial resources. Following the indications of the official EFSA opinion 2021, a practical interpretation of the strategy was implemented based on the failure probabilities of wrongly declaring the freedom of an area even if the disease is still present but undetected. This work aimed at providing a valid, applicative example of an exit strategy based on two different approaches: the first uses the wild boar density to estimate the number of carcasses need to complete the exit strategy, while the second estimates it from the number of wild boar hunted and tested. A practical free access tool, named , was developed to automatically calculate the number of needed carcasses. The practical example was developed using the ASF data from Sardinia (Italian island). Sardinia is ASF endemic from 43 years, but the last ASFV detection dates back to 2019. The island is under consideration for ASF eradication declaration. The subsequent results provide a practical example for other countries in approaching the EFSA exit strategy in the best choices for its on-field application.

摘要

非洲猪瘟(ASF)是一种毁灭性疾病,导致家猪和野猪死亡率很高,在全球范围内迅速传播。鉴于没有许可的疫苗,确保预防和早期发现疾病就更加重要。正如欧盟委员会所建议的,如果各国打算提供无病的证据,就需要加快对其野猪种群的被动监测。如果这种监测在国内猪场得到很好的监管,就需要根据野猪密度、狩猎袋、环境和财务资源,为野生种群制定具体的国家活动。根据 EFSA 2021 年官方意见的指示,根据即使疾病仍然存在但未被发现而错误宣布一个地区自由的概率失败,实施了一种实用的策略解释。这项工作旨在提供一个基于两种不同方法的退出策略的有效、适用的示例:第一种方法使用野猪密度来估计完成退出策略所需的尸体数量,而第二种方法则根据被猎杀和测试的野猪数量来估计。开发了一个名为的实用免费访问工具,用于自动计算所需的尸体数量。该实用示例是使用撒丁岛(意大利岛屿)的 ASF 数据开发的。撒丁岛 43 年来一直是 ASF 的疫区,但最后一次 ASF 检测可追溯到 2019 年。该岛正在考虑宣布消灭 ASF。随后的结果为其他国家提供了一个实用的示例,说明如何在现场应用中选择最佳方法来采用 EFSA 的退出策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6d6c/9319840/1bc0e0f90494/viruses-14-01424-g001.jpg

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