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已知的人类致病疾病中,超过半数会因气候变化而加剧。

Over half of known human pathogenic diseases can be aggravated by climate change.

作者信息

Mora Camilo, McKenzie Tristan, Gaw Isabella M, Dean Jacqueline M, von Hammerstein Hannah, Knudson Tabatha A, Setter Renee O, Smith Charlotte Z, Webster Kira M, Patz Jonathan A, Franklin Erik C

机构信息

Department of Geography and Environment, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI USA.

Department of Earth Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, Honolulu, HI USA.

出版信息

Nat Clim Chang. 2022;12(9):869-875. doi: 10.1038/s41558-022-01426-1. Epub 2022 Aug 8.

Abstract

It is relatively well accepted that climate change can affect human pathogenic diseases; however, the full extent of this risk remains poorly quantified. Here we carried out a systematic search for empirical examples about the impacts of ten climatic hazards sensitive to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on each known human pathogenic disease. We found that 58% (that is, 218 out of 375) of infectious diseases confronted by humanity worldwide have been at some point aggravated by climatic hazards; 16% were at times diminished. Empirical cases revealed 1,006 unique pathways in which climatic hazards, via different transmission types, led to pathogenic diseases. The human pathogenic diseases and transmission pathways aggravated by climatic hazards are too numerous for comprehensive societal adaptations, highlighting the urgent need to work at the source of the problem: reducing GHG emissions.

摘要

气候变化会影响人类致病疾病,这一点相对而言已得到广泛认可;然而,这种风险的全部程度仍难以量化。在此,我们对十个对温室气体(GHG)排放敏感的气候危害对每种已知人类致病疾病的影响进行了实证案例的系统搜索。我们发现,全球人类面临的传染病中有58%(即375种中的218种)在某个时候因气候危害而加剧;16%有时会减轻。实证案例揭示了1006条独特的途径,通过这些途径,气候危害经由不同的传播类型导致致病疾病。因气候危害而加剧的人类致病疾病和传播途径太多,无法进行全面的社会适应,这凸显了从问题根源着手的迫切需求:减少温室气体排放。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a72b/9362357/23295533ba03/41558_2022_1426_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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