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气候变化及其在疾病的出现和再现中的作用。

Climatic changes and their role in emergence and re-emergence of diseases.

机构信息

Department of Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Cairo University, Giza, Egypt.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jun;27(18):22336-22352. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08896-w. Epub 2020 Apr 28.

Abstract

Global warming and the associated climate changes are predictable. They are enhanced by burning of fossil fuels and the emission of huge amounts of CO gas which resulted in greenhouse effect. It is expected that the average global temperature will increase with 2-5 °C in the next decades. As a result, the earth will exhibit marked climatic changes characterized by extremer weather events in the coming decades, such as the increase in temperature, rainfall, summertime, droughts, more frequent and stronger tornadoes and hurricanes. Epidemiological disease cycle includes host, pathogen and in certain cases intermediate host/vector. A complex mixture of various environmental conditions (e.g. temperature and humidity) determines the suitable habitat/ecological niche for every vector host. The availability of suitable vectors is a precondition for the emergence of vector-borne pathogens. Climate changes and global warming will have catastrophic effects on human, animal and environmental ecosystems. Pathogens, especially neglected tropical disease agents, are expected to emerge and re-emerge in several countries including Europe and North America. The lives of millions of people especially in developing countries will be at risk in direct and indirect ways. In the present review, the role of climate changes in the spread of infectious agents and their vectors is discussed. Examples of the major emerging viral, bacterial and parasitic diseases are also summarized.

摘要

全球变暖以及相关的气候变化是可预测的。它们是由化石燃料的燃烧和大量 CO 气体的排放引起的,这导致了温室效应。预计在未来几十年内,全球平均气温将上升 2-5°C。因此,地球将在未来几十年内表现出明显的气候变化,例如温度升高、降雨量增加、夏季时间延长、干旱、更频繁和更强的龙卷风和飓风。流行病学疾病周期包括宿主、病原体和在某些情况下的中间宿主/媒介。各种环境条件(例如温度和湿度)的复杂混合决定了每个媒介宿主的适宜栖息地/生态位。合适媒介的存在是出现媒介传播病原体的前提条件。气候变化和全球变暖将对人类、动物和环境生态系统造成灾难性影响。病原体,特别是被忽视的热带病病原体,预计将在包括欧洲和北美的几个国家出现和再次出现。数百万人的生命,特别是发展中国家的生命,将直接或间接地面临风险。在本综述中,讨论了气候变化在传染病原体及其媒介传播中的作用。还总结了主要新出现的病毒、细菌和寄生虫病的例子。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0e94/7187803/b05d6b70494d/11356_2020_8896_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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