Russo Valentina, Lallo Eleonora, Munnia Armelle, Spedicato Miriana, Messerini Luca, D'Aurizio Romina, Ceroni Elia Giuseppe, Brunelli Giulia, Galvano Antonio, Russo Antonio, Landini Ida, Nobili Stefania, Ceppi Marcello, Bruzzone Marco, Cianchi Fabio, Staderini Fabio, Roselli Mario, Riondino Silvia, Ferroni Patrizia, Guadagni Fiorella, Mini Enrico, Peluso Marco
Research and Development Branch, Regional Cancer Prevention Laboratory, ISPRO-Study, Prevention and Oncology Network Institute, 50139 Florence, Italy.
Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, 50134 Florence, Italy.
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Aug 19;14(16):4012. doi: 10.3390/cancers14164012.
Tailored treatments for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) have not yet completely evolved due to the variety in response to drugs. Therefore, artificial intelligence has been recently used to develop prognostic and predictive models of treatment response (either activity/efficacy or toxicity) to aid in clinical decision making. In this systematic review, we have examined the ability of learning methods to predict response to chemotherapy alone or combined with targeted therapy in mCRC patients by targeting specific narrative publications in Medline up to April 2022 to identify appropriate original scientific articles. After the literature search, 26 original articles met inclusion and exclusion criteria and were included in the study. Our results show that all investigations conducted on this field have provided generally promising results in predicting the response to therapy or toxic side-effects. By a meta-analytic approach we found that the overall weighted means of the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) were 0.90, 95% C.I. 0.80-0.95 and 0.83, 95% C.I. 0.74-0.89 in training and validation sets, respectively, indicating a good classification performance in discriminating response vs. non-response. The calculation of overall HR indicates that learning models have strong ability to predict improved survival. Lastly, the delta-radiomics and the 74 gene signatures were able to discriminate response vs. non-response by correctly identifying up to 99% of mCRC patients who were responders and up to 100% of patients who were non-responders. Specifically, when we evaluated the predictive models with tests reaching 80% sensitivity (SE) and 90% specificity (SP), the delta radiomics showed an SE of 99% and an SP of 94% in the training set and an SE of 85% and SP of 92 in the test set, whereas for the 74 gene signatures the SE was 97.6% and the SP 100% in the training set.
由于转移性结直肠癌(mCRC)对药物的反应存在差异,针对mCRC的个性化治疗尚未完全成熟。因此,近年来人工智能已被用于开发治疗反应(活性/疗效或毒性)的预后和预测模型,以辅助临床决策。在这项系统评价中,我们通过检索截至2022年4月Medline中特定的叙述性出版物,以确定合适的原始科学文章,从而研究了学习方法预测mCRC患者单纯化疗或联合靶向治疗反应的能力。文献检索后,26篇原始文章符合纳入和排除标准并被纳入研究。我们的结果表明,该领域进行的所有研究在预测治疗反应或毒副作用方面总体上都给出了很有前景的结果。通过荟萃分析方法,我们发现受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)在训练集和验证集中的总体加权均值分别为0.90,95%置信区间0.80 - 0.95和0.83,95%置信区间0.74 - 0.89,这表明在区分反应与无反应方面具有良好的分类性能。总体风险比(HR)的计算表明学习模型具有很强的预测生存改善的能力。最后,增量放射组学和74个基因特征能够通过正确识别高达99%的反应者和高达100%的无反应者来区分反应与无反应。具体而言,当我们用灵敏度(SE)达到80%和特异度(SP)达到90%的测试评估预测模型时,增量放射组学在训练集中显示出99%的SE和94%的SP,在测试集中显示出85%的SE和92%的SP,而对于74个基因特征,在训练集中SE为97.6%,SP为100%。