Chen Xi, Tan Chih Ming, Zhang Xiaobo, Zhang Xin
Department of Health Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT 06520, USA.
Department of Economics, College of Business and Public Administration, University of North Dakota, Grand Forks, ND 58202, USA.
J Popul Econ. 2020 Oct;33(4):1263-1302. doi: 10.1007/s00148-020-00768-4. Epub 2020 Mar 4.
This paper investigates the effects of prenatal exposure to extreme temperatures on birth outcomes-specifically, the log of birth weight and an indicator for low birth weight-using a nationally representative dataset in rural China. During the span of our data (i.e., 1991-2000), indoor air-conditioning was not widely available and migration was limited, allowing us to address identification issues endemic in the climate change literature related to adaptation and location sorting. We find substantial heterogeneity in the effects of extreme temperature exposure on birth outcomes. In particular, prenatal exposure to heat waves has stronger negative effects than exposure to cold spells on survivors.
本文利用中国农村具有全国代表性的数据集,研究产前暴露于极端温度对出生结局的影响——具体而言,是对出生体重对数和低出生体重指标的影响。在我们的数据期间(即1991 - 2000年),室内空调尚未广泛普及,人口迁移也受到限制,这使我们能够解决气候变化文献中与适应和地点分类相关的常见识别问题。我们发现极端温度暴露对出生结局的影响存在很大的异质性。特别是,产前暴露于热浪对存活者的负面影响比暴露于寒潮更强。