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气候技术的跨部门优先排序:巴西缓解气候变化技术需求评估的见解

Inter-sectoral prioritization of climate technologies: insights from a Technology Needs Assessment for mitigation in Brazil.

作者信息

da Silva Fábio T F, Szklo Alexandre, Vinhoza Amanda, Nogueira Ana Célia, Lucena André F P, Mendonça Antônio Marcos, Marcolino Camilla, Nunes Felipe, Carvalho Francielle M, Tagomori Isabela, Soares Laura, da Cruz Márcio Rojas, Rochedo Pedro, Rajão Raoni, Rathmann Régis, Schaeffer Roberto, de Bittencourt Sonia Regina Mudrovitsch

机构信息

Centre for Energy and Environmental Economics (Cenergia), Energy Planning Programme (PPE), Graduate School of Engineering (COPPE), Universidade Federal Do Rio de Janeiro, Avenida Horácio de Macedo, 2030, Centro de Tecnologia, C-211, Ilha do Fundão, Rio de Janeiro, RJ 21941-972 Brazil.

Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil.

出版信息

Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Chang. 2022;27(7):48. doi: 10.1007/s11027-022-10025-6. Epub 2022 Sep 1.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

Technological development is key for national strategies to cope with the Paris Agreement's goals. Technology Needs Assessments (TNAs) aim to identify, prioritize, and diffuse climate change mitigation and/or adaptation technologies in developing countries. Their methodology includes a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework but, although many countries already conducted a TNA, literature lacks discussions on country-specific processes for a TNA, as it usually follows a one-size-fits-all approach. This paper provides empirical evidence on the importance of country-driven processes that help shaping international programmes into country-specific needs and capabilities. It presents lessons learned from a tailored process for identification, prioritization, and selection of mitigation technologies in the scope of a TNA project for Brazil, an exceptional case of a developing country with strong capacity in integrated assessment modelling (IAM) scenarios for guiding its climate strategies. A previous IAM scenario result allowed pre-selecting technologies in six key economic sectors, while other TNAs prioritized no more than three. This allowed the elaboration of an overall ranking from the MCDA, in contrast to sectoral rankings that are mostly employed in other countries' TNAs. The overall ranking serves not only as a basis for the selection of priority technologies but also provides information on the integrated innovations framework for climate technologies in the country. Further specific findings of the tailored Brazilian TNA approach are discussed in the paper in order to call for the importance that a technology transfer project should not only be country-driven but also conducted through a country-specific process.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-022-10025-6.

摘要

未标注

技术发展是国家应对《巴黎协定》目标战略的关键。技术需求评估(TNA)旨在识别、确定优先次序并推广发展中国家的气候变化缓解和/或适应技术。其方法包括多标准决策分析(MCDA)框架,然而,尽管许多国家已经开展了技术需求评估,但文献中缺乏关于技术需求评估特定国家流程的讨论,因为它通常采用一刀切的方法。本文提供了实证证据,证明了国家驱动流程的重要性,这些流程有助于将国际项目塑造为符合特定国家的需求和能力。它介绍了在巴西的一个技术需求评估项目范围内,针对缓解技术的识别、优先排序和选择的定制流程中吸取的经验教训。巴西是一个在综合评估模型(IAM)情景方面具有强大能力以指导其气候战略的发展中国家的特殊案例。先前的综合评估模型情景结果允许在六个关键经济部门预先选择技术,而其他技术需求评估确定的优先部门不超过三个。这使得能够根据多标准决策分析得出总体排名,这与其他国家技术需求评估中大多采用的部门排名不同。总体排名不仅作为选择优先技术的基础,还提供了该国气候技术综合创新框架的信息。本文还讨论了定制的巴西技术需求评估方法的进一步具体发现,以强调技术转让项目不仅应由国家驱动,还应通过特定国家的流程进行的重要性。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s11027-022-10025-6获取的补充材料。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8012/9433519/c27b2942e31e/11027_2022_10025_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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