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旅游与经济增长:基于格兰杰因果关系与小波相干性的全球研究。

Tourism and economic growth: A global study on Granger causality and wavelet coherence.

机构信息

SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, Malabe, Sri Lanka.

Department of Information Management, SLIIT Business School, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, Malabe, Sri Lanka.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Sep 12;17(9):e0274386. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0274386. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the relationship between tourism and economic growth by using a panel data cointegration test, Granger causality test and Wavelet coherence analysis at the global level. This analysis examines 105 nations utilising panel data from 2003 to 2020. The findings indicates that in most regions, tourism contributes significantly to economic growth and vice versa. Developing trade across most of the regions appears to be a major influencer in the study, as a bidirectional association exists between trade openness and economic growth. Additionally, all regions other than the American region showed a one-way association between gross capital formation and economic growth. Therefore, it is crucial to highlight that using initiatives to increase demand would advance tourism while also boosting the economy.

摘要

本文通过面板数据协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和小波相干分析,在全球范围内实证研究了旅游与经济增长之间的关系。本分析使用了 2003 年至 2020 年的面板数据,对 105 个国家进行了研究。结果表明,在大多数地区,旅游对经济增长有显著贡献,反之亦然。在大多数地区,开展贸易似乎是一个主要的影响因素,因为贸易开放度与经济增长之间存在双向关联。此外,除了美洲地区外,所有地区的资本形成总额与经济增长之间都存在单向关联。因此,必须强调的是,通过增加需求的举措来促进旅游业的发展,同时也能推动经济的增长。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/59da/9467361/60e77b293a38/pone.0274386.g001.jpg

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