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预测脑损伤患者的预后:机器学习与传统统计学之间的差异

Predicting Outcome in Patients with Brain Injury: Differences between Machine Learning versus Conventional Statistics.

作者信息

Cerasa Antonio, Tartarisco Gennaro, Bruschetta Roberta, Ciancarelli Irene, Morone Giovanni, Calabrò Rocco Salvatore, Pioggia Giovanni, Tonin Paolo, Iosa Marco

机构信息

Institute for Biomedical Research and Innovation (IRIB), National Research Council of Italy, 98164 Messina, Italy.

Pharmacotechnology Documentation and Transfer Unit, Preclinical and Translational Pharmacology, Department of Pharmacy, Health Science and Nutrition, University of Calabria, 87036 Rende, Italy.

出版信息

Biomedicines. 2022 Sep 13;10(9):2267. doi: 10.3390/biomedicines10092267.

Abstract

Defining reliable tools for early prediction of outcome is the main target for physicians to guide care decisions in patients with brain injury. The application of machine learning (ML) is rapidly increasing in this field of study, but with a poor translation to clinical practice. This is basically dependent on the uncertainty about the advantages of this novel technique with respect to traditional approaches. In this review we address the main differences between ML techniques and traditional statistics (such as logistic regression, LR) applied for predicting outcome in patients with stroke and traumatic brain injury (TBI). Thirteen papers directly addressing the different performance among ML and LR methods were included in this review. Basically, ML algorithms do not outperform traditional regression approaches for outcome prediction in brain injury. Better performance of specific ML algorithms (such as Artificial neural networks) was mainly described in the stroke domain, but the high heterogeneity in features extracted from low-dimensional clinical data reduces the enthusiasm for applying this powerful method in clinical practice. To better capture and predict the dynamic changes in patients with brain injury during intensive care courses ML algorithms should be extended to high-dimensional data extracted from neuroimaging (structural and fMRI), EEG and genetics.

摘要

定义可靠的早期预后预测工具是医生指导脑损伤患者护理决策的主要目标。机器学习(ML)在这一研究领域的应用正在迅速增加,但在临床实践中的转化效果不佳。这主要取决于这种新技术相对于传统方法的优势存在不确定性。在本综述中,我们阐述了用于预测中风和创伤性脑损伤(TBI)患者预后的ML技术与传统统计学方法(如逻辑回归,LR)之间的主要差异。本综述纳入了13篇直接探讨ML和LR方法不同性能的论文。基本上,在脑损伤预后预测方面,ML算法并不优于传统回归方法。特定ML算法(如人工神经网络)的更好性能主要在中风领域得到描述,但从低维临床数据中提取的特征高度异质性降低了在临床实践中应用这种强大方法的积极性。为了更好地捕捉和预测脑损伤患者在重症监护过程中的动态变化,ML算法应扩展到从神经影像学(结构和功能磁共振成像)、脑电图和遗传学中提取的高维数据。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/900c/9496389/daf20d99bac5/biomedicines-10-02267-g001.jpg

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