Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Agroscope Reckenholz, Climate and Agriculture, Division of Agroecology and Environment, Zurich, Switzerland.
Nat Commun. 2022 Oct 4;13(1):5569. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-33279-9.
Forests can store large amounts of carbon and provide essential ecosystem services. Massive tree planting is thus sometimes portrayed as a panacea to mitigate climate change and related impacts. Recent controversies about the potential benefits and drawbacks of forestation have centered on the carbon storage potential of forests and the local or global thermodynamic impacts. Here we discuss how global-scale forestation and deforestation change the Earth's energy balance, thereby affect the global atmospheric circulation and even have profound effects on the ocean circulation. We perform multicentury coupled climate model simulations in which preindustrial vegetation cover is either completely forested or deforested and carbon dioxide mixing ratio is kept constant. We show that global-scale forestation leads to a weakening and poleward shift of the Northern mid-latitude circulation, slows-down the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation, and affects the strength of the Hadley cell, whereas deforestation leads to reversed changes. Consequently, both land surface changes substantially affect regional precipitation, temperature, clouds, and surface wind patterns across the globe. The design process of large-scale forestation projects thus needs to take into account global circulation adjustments and their influence on remote climate.
森林可以储存大量的碳,并提供重要的生态系统服务。因此,大规模植树造林有时被描绘为缓解气候变化和相关影响的灵丹妙药。最近,关于造林的潜在益处和弊端的争议集中在森林的碳储存潜力以及局部或全球热力学影响上。在这里,我们讨论了全球范围内的造林和毁林如何改变地球的能量平衡,从而影响全球大气环流,甚至对海洋环流产生深远影响。我们进行了几个世纪的耦合气候模型模拟,其中工业化前的植被覆盖要么完全是森林,要么是森林砍伐,二氧化碳混合比保持不变。我们表明,全球范围内的造林导致北温带环流的减弱和极向移动,减缓了大西洋经向翻转环流,并影响了哈德利环流的强度,而毁林则导致相反的变化。因此,陆地表面的变化极大地影响了全球范围内的区域降水、温度、云量和地表风模式。因此,大规模造林项目的设计过程需要考虑全球环流调整及其对远程气候的影响。