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冰盖模型相互比较项目(ISMIP6)对第六次耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)的贡献。

Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6.

作者信息

Nowicki Sophie M J, Payne Tony, Larour Eric, Seroussi Helene, Goelzer Heiko, Lipscomb William, Gregory Jonathan, Abe-Ouchi Ayako, Shepherd Andrew

机构信息

NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA.

School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK.

出版信息

Geosci Model Dev. 2016;9(12):4521-4545. doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-4521-2016. Epub 2016 Dec 21.

Abstract

Reducing the uncertainty in the past, present and future contribution of ice sheets to sea-level change requires a coordinated effort between the climate and glaciology communities. The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) is the primary activity within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - phase 6 (CMIP6) focusing on the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets. In this paper, we describe the framework for ISMIP6 and its relationship to other activities within CMIP6. The ISMIP6 experimental design relies on CMIP6 climate models and includes, for the first time within CMIP, coupled ice sheet - climate models as well as standalone ice sheet models. To facilitate analysis of the multi-model ensemble and to generate a set of standard climate inputs for standalone ice sheet models, ISMIP6 defines a protocol for all variables related to ice sheets. ISMIP6 will provide a basis for investigating the feedbacks, impacts, and sea-level changes associated with dynamic ice sheets and for quantifying the uncertainty in ice-sheet-sourced global sea-level change.

摘要

减少冰盖在过去、现在和未来对海平面变化贡献的不确定性,需要气候学界和冰川学界共同协调努力。用于CMIP6的冰盖模型相互比较计划(ISMIP6)是耦合模型相互比较计划第六阶段(CMIP6)中的主要活动,聚焦于格陵兰冰盖和南极冰盖。在本文中,我们描述了ISMIP6的框架及其与CMIP6中其他活动的关系。ISMIP6实验设计依赖于CMIP6气候模型,并且在CMIP中首次纳入了冰盖 - 气候耦合模型以及独立冰盖模型。为便于对多模型集合进行分析,并为独立冰盖模型生成一组标准气候输入数据,ISMIP6为所有与冰盖相关的变量定义了一个协议。ISMIP6将为研究与动态冰盖相关的反馈、影响和海平面变化以及量化源自冰盖的全球海平面变化的不确定性提供一个基础。

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