Yousaf Adnan, Hadi Rana, Khan Nasreen, Ibrahim Farzana, Moin Hina, Rahim Sharmeen, Hussain Majid
Department of Forestry and Wildlife Management, University of Haripur, Hattar Road, Haripur City, 22620, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.
Department of Zoology, Jinnah University for Women, Karachi, 74600, Sindh, Pakistan.
Saudi J Biol Sci. 2022 Dec;29(12):103459. doi: 10.1016/j.sjbs.2022.103459. Epub 2022 Sep 27.
Conservation of any species necessitates knowledge of its biology and natural history, as well as prospective locations or newer adaptive landscapes where the species can survive and thrive. This study presents habitat suitability and local conservation status of and in moist temperate forest of Hazara division, Pakistan. Data was collected through field surveys based on 363 samples from field, topographical and bioclimatic variables. In the present study, we employed the MaxEnt model exclusively for each tree species along with 23 independent or environment variables (19 bioclimatic and 4 topographic). The jackknife test was used to demonstrate the significance of variables with the highest gain, and it was found that overall tree cover, annual temperature range was the factors with the highest gain, while slope was amongst the least important. The MaxEnt model produced high accuracy for each tree species, with receiver operating characteristic (ROC), area under the curve (AUC), training mean testing values for was 0.966 followed by 0.944 for Local conservation status of and was evaluated using IUCN criteria 2001 was declared critically endangered locally as the population size reduced by 87%. In contrast, was declared as endangered as population size reduced by 69% falling under endangered criteria A of IUCN. The decline in population size of and species were due to human cause anthropogenic activities such as exploitation and loss of habitat, the extent of occurrence, and slow regeneration of tree species. Results and field-based observation revealed that suitable habitat modeling showed unsuitable (0.0-0.2), less suitable (0.2-0.4), moderately (0.4-0.6), highly (0.6-0.7), and very highly (0.7-1.0) suitable habitat for and Results also revealed that both species were distributed irregularly in the moist temperate forest of Hazara division. Habitat suitability of and can be considered one of most significant points toward conserving these tree species. Habitat loss is a major threat to their occurrence, which should be overcome by ensuring the protection of suitable habitat and conservation approaches. Considering the species ecological and economic value, it is essential to understand how the species distribution may vary as a result of climate change to establish effective conservation policies. This study also includes significant environmental elements that influence species distribution, which could help locate regions where the species could be planted. Forest tree species require effective, scientific, and long-term management and conservation techniques in the study area. Furthermore, the formulation and implementation of protective laws and policies are required to conserve and protect both the conifer species.
保护任何物种都需要了解其生物学和自然历史,以及该物种能够生存和繁衍的潜在地点或新的适应性景观。本研究展示了巴基斯坦哈扎拉地区湿润温带森林中[具体树种1]和[具体树种2]的栖息地适宜性及当地保护状况。通过基于363个样本的实地调查收集数据,这些样本涉及实地、地形和生物气候变量。在本研究中,我们仅针对每种树种运用了最大熵模型(MaxEnt模型)以及23个独立的环境变量(19个生物气候变量和4个地形变量)。刀切法检验用于证明增益最高的变量的显著性,结果发现总体树木覆盖、年温度范围是增益最高的因素,而坡度是最不重要的因素之一。最大熵模型对每种树种都产生了高精度的结果,对于[具体树种1],受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下的面积(AUC)、训练均值测试值为0.966,对于[具体树种2]为0.944。依据国际自然保护联盟(IUCN)2001年标准对[具体树种1]和[具体树种2]的当地保护状况进行了评估,[具体树种1]因种群数量减少了87%被宣布为当地极危物种。相比之下,[具体树种2]因种群数量减少了69%,符合IUCN濒危标准A而被宣布为濒危物种。[具体树种1]和[具体树种2]种群数量的下降是由于人类活动,如栖息地的开发和丧失、分布范围以及树种再生缓慢等人为因素造成的。结果和实地观察表明,适宜栖息地建模显示出对[具体树种1]和[具体树种2]而言不适合(0.0 - 0.2)、较不适合(0.2 - 0.4)、中等适合(0.4 - 0.6)、高度适合(0.6 - 0.7)和非常高度适合(0.7 - 1.0)的栖息地。结果还表明,这两个树种在哈扎拉地区的湿润温带森林中分布不均。[具体树种1]和[具体树种2]的栖息地适宜性可被视为保护这些树种最重要的要点之一。栖息地丧失是它们生存的主要威胁,应通过确保保护适宜栖息地和保护措施来克服这一威胁。考虑到这些物种的生态和经济价值,了解物种分布如何因气候变化而变化对于制定有效的保护政策至关重要。本研究还包括影响物种分布的重要环境因素,这有助于确定可以种植这些物种的区域。在研究区域,森林树种需要有效、科学和长期的管理及保护技术。此外,需要制定和实施保护法律及政策来保护这两种针叶树种。