Tian Yang, Yang Xue, Yang Juan, Mao Kaikai, Yao Yujia, Liang Haoshen
School of Management and Economics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450046, China.
School of Finance, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450046, China.
Heliyon. 2022 Oct 5;8(10):e10933. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10933. eCollection 2022 Oct.
The intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises is the fundamental strategy to prevent and curb major coal mine accidents, and the core technical support to realize the high-quality development of the coal industry. Considering the intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises enabled by emerging information technologies such as 5G and artificial intelligence, this paper constructs a Moran process stochastic evolutionary game model of intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises. Based on the fixed point probability of the Moran process, the probability of successful invasion of the "intelligent construction" strategy and the "traditional production" strategy in the limited coal mining enterprise group is calculated. By comparing the probability of individual fixed point and the probability of neutral mutation, the dominant condition of the strategy under strong selection and weak selection is obtained. The research shows that external stochastic factors, the number and scale of enterprises, the intensity of capacity replacement and the cost-benefit of intelligent construction are the main factors affecting the intelligent construction behavior of coal mining enterprises. When the intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises is in the cultivation period, the intelligent construction of underground coal mines dominated by stochastic factors can be effectively promoted by increasing the intensity of capacity reduction replacement. For the open-pit coal mine dominated by expected payoffs, reducing the number of mining rights and improving the concentration of open-pit coal mining industry will have a better effect on promoting its intelligent cultivation process. When the intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises is in the mature stage, with the improvement of the cost and benefits of intelligent construction, "intelligent construction" strategy will become a general consensus of coal mining enterprises. In addition, this paper analyzes the relevant parameters through specific examples to verify the effectiveness of the conclusions, which provides a scientific basis for effectively accelerating the intelligent construction of coal mining enterprises and promoting the transformation and upgrading of the coal industry.
煤矿企业智能化建设是预防和遏制煤矿重大事故的根本举措,也是实现煤炭行业高质量发展的核心技术支撑。考虑到5G和人工智能等新兴信息技术赋能煤矿企业智能化建设,本文构建了煤矿企业智能化建设的莫兰过程随机演化博弈模型。基于莫兰过程的不动点概率,计算了“智能化建设”策略和“传统生产”策略在有限规模煤矿企业群体中成功入侵的概率。通过比较个体不动点概率和中性突变概率,得出强选择和弱选择下策略的主导条件。研究表明,外部随机因素、企业数量与规模、产能置换强度以及智能化建设成本效益是影响煤矿企业智能化建设行为的主要因素。当煤矿企业智能化建设处于培育期时,对于以随机因素为主导的地下煤矿智能化建设,可通过加大减量置换力度有效推进;对于以期望收益为主导的露天煤矿,减少矿权数量、提高露天开采产业集中度对推进其智能化培育进程效果更佳。当煤矿企业智能化建设处于成熟期时,随着智能化建设成本效益的提高,“智能化建设”策略将成为煤矿企业的普遍共识。此外,本文通过具体实例对相关参数进行分析,验证了结论的有效性,为有效加快煤矿企业智能化建设、推动煤炭行业转型升级提供了科学依据。