A missing behavioural feedback in COVID-19 models is the key to several puzzles.
作者信息
Rahmandad Hazhir, Xu Ran, Ghaffarzadegan Navid
机构信息
Sloan School of Management, MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.
Department of Allied Health Sciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, Connecticut, USA
出版信息
BMJ Glob Health. 2022 Oct;7(10). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-010463.
Abstract
摘要
相似文献
1
A missing behavioural feedback in COVID-19 models is the key to several puzzles.新冠病毒疾病模型中缺失的行为反馈是解开几个谜团的关键。
BMJ Glob Health. 2022 Oct;7(10). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2022-010463.
2
Using behavioural and social sciences to inform public policies during COVID-19, Uruguay.乌拉圭在新冠疫情期间运用行为科学和社会科学为公共政策提供信息支持。
Bull World Health Organ. 2021 Nov 1;99(11):843-844. doi: 10.2471/BLT.21.287071. Epub 2021 Sep 28.
3
COVID-19 and Health-Related Authority Allocation Puzzles.COVID-19 与健康相关的权威分配难题。
Camb Q Healthc Ethics. 2021 Jan;30(1):25-36. doi: 10.1017/S0963180120000468. Epub 2020 Jun 8.
4
Behavioural insights and the evolving COVID-19 pandemic.行为洞察与不断演变的 COVID-19 大流行。
Euro Surveill. 2022 May;27(18). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.18.2100615.
5
Building resilient health systems in Africa beyond the COVID-19 pandemic response.在非洲建立超越新冠疫情应对的韧性卫生系统。
BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Jun;6(6). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006108.
6
Local manufacturing, local supply chains and health security in Africa: lessons from COVID-19.非洲的本地制造业、本地供应链与卫生安全：来自新冠疫情的教训
BMJ Glob Health. 2021 Jun;6(6). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2021-006362.
7
SARS-CoV-2 Surveillance in the Middle East and North Africa: Longitudinal Trend Analysis.中东和北非地区的 SARS-CoV-2 监测：纵向趋势分析。
J Med Internet Res. 2021 Jan 15;23(1):e25830. doi: 10.2196/25830.
8
India's massive COVID surge puzzles scientists.印度新冠疫情的大规模激增令科学家们感到困惑。
Nature. 2021 Apr;592(7856):667-668. doi: 10.1038/d41586-021-01059-y.
9
Application experience of a rapid nucleic acid detection system for COVID-19.用于 COVID-19 的快速核酸检测系统的应用经验。
Microbes Infect. 2022 Jun;24(4):104945. doi: 10.1016/j.micinf.2022.104945. Epub 2022 Jan 31.
10
SARS-CoV-2: eye protection might be the missing key.严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2：眼部防护可能是缺失的关键因素。
Lancet Microbe. 2021 May;2(5):e173-e174. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00040-9. Epub 2021 Feb 23.
引用本文的文献
1
Adaptive human behaviour modulates the impact of immune life history and vaccination on long-term epidemic dynamics.适应性人类行为调节免疫生活史和疫苗接种对长期流行动力学的影响。
Proc Biol Sci. 2024 Oct;291(2033):20241772. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2024.1772. Epub 2024 Oct 30.
2
Incorporating endogenous human behavior in models of COVID-19 transmission: A systematic scoping review.将人类内生行为纳入2019冠状病毒病传播模型：一项系统综述。
Dialogues Health. 2024 May 7;4:100179. doi: 10.1016/j.dialog.2024.100179. eCollection 2024 Jun.
3
Parameter estimation in behavioral epidemic models with endogenous societal risk-response.具有内生社会风险反应的行为流行病模型中的参数估计。
PLoS Comput Biol. 2024 Mar 29;20(3):e1011992. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011992. eCollection 2024 Mar.
本文引用的文献
1
Quantifying the COVID-19 endgame: Is a new normal within reach?量化新冠疫情的终局：新的常态触手可及了吗？
Syst Dyn Rev. 2022 Aug 24. doi: 10.1002/sdr.1715.
2
Behavioral responses to risk promote vaccinating high-contact individuals first.对风险的行为反应促使首先为高接触人群接种疫苗。
Syst Dyn Rev. 2022 Jul-Sep;38(3):246-263. doi: 10.1002/sdr.1714. Epub 2022 Aug 23.
3
Understanding the coevolution of mask wearing and epidemics: A network perspective.理解口罩佩戴与传染病共演化：网络视角。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Jun 28;119(26):e2123355119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2123355119. Epub 2022 Jun 22.
4
Enhancing long-term forecasting: Learning from COVID-19 models.增强长期预测：从 COVID-19 模型中学习。
PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 May 19;18(5):e1010100. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010100. eCollection 2022 May.
5
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States.评估美国 COVID-19 死亡率的个体和综合概率预测。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Apr 12;119(15):e2113561119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2113561119. Epub 2022 Apr 8.
6
Behavioral dynamics of COVID-19: estimating underreporting, multiple waves, and adherence fatigue across 92 nations.新冠疫情的行为动态：评估92个国家的漏报情况、多波疫情及依从性疲劳
Syst Dyn Rev. 2021 Jan-Mar;37(1):5-31. doi: 10.1002/sdr.1673. Epub 2021 Mar 16.
7
Dynamic prioritization of COVID-19 vaccines when social distancing is limited for essential workers.在社交距离对基本工人有限时，对 COVID-19 疫苗进行动态优先级排序。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Apr 20;118(16). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2025786118.
8
Model-informed COVID-19 vaccine prioritization strategies by age and serostatus.基于模型的 COVID-19 疫苗优先接种策略，按年龄和血清学状态分层。
Science. 2021 Feb 26;371(6532):916-921. doi: 10.1126/science.abe6959. Epub 2021 Jan 21.
9
Tracking [Formula: see text] of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter.追踪 COVID-19 [公式：见正文]：一种新的基于卡尔曼滤波的实时估计方法。
PLoS One. 2021 Jan 13;16(1):e0244474. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244474. eCollection 2021.
10
Causal impact of masks, policies, behavior on early covid-19 pandemic in the U.S.口罩、政策、行为对美国早期新冠疫情的因果影响
J Econom. 2021 Jan;220(1):23-62. doi: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.09.003. Epub 2020 Oct 17.
Zotero 插件