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人们对冲突的恐惧导致他们系统地避免潜在有价值的零和情况。

The fear of conflict leads people to systematically avoid potentially valuable zero-sum situations.

机构信息

Columbia Business School, Columbia University, New York, NY, 10027, USA.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2022 Oct 26;12(1):17944. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-22849-y.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-22849-y
PMID:36289320
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9605973/
Abstract

From interpersonal interactions to international arms races, game theorists and social scientists have long studied decision-making in zero-sum situations. Yet, what happens when people can freely choose whether to enter zero-sum situations in the first place? Thirteen studies (including five pre-registered) consistently document evidence for zero-sum aversion-the desire to avoid situations that are (or are believed to be) zero-sum. Across different contexts (economic games, market entry decisions, performance reviews, negotiations, job applications), samples (online participant pool, MBA students, community sample), and designs (within- and between-participant, real and hypothetical decisions), people avoid zero-sum situations that inversely link their and others' outcomes as well as refrain from putting others in such situations. Because people fear that zero-sum situations will be rife with conflict, they exhibit zero-sum aversion even when doing so is costly. Finally, we find that people require zero-sum situations to provide substantially higher payoffs (e.g., compensation) to overcome their zero-sum aversion. We conclude with a discussion of the implications for interpersonal and intergroup conflict.

摘要

从人际互动到国际军备竞赛,博弈论家和社会科学家长期以来一直在研究零和情境下的决策。然而,当人们可以自由选择是否首先进入零和情境时,会发生什么呢?十三项研究(包括五项预先注册)一致证明了零和厌恶的存在——即避免处于(或被认为是)零和的情境的愿望。在不同的情境(经济博弈、市场进入决策、绩效评估、谈判、求职)、样本(在线参与者群体、MBA 学生、社区样本)和设计(内部和参与者之间、真实和假设的决策)中,人们避免了那些与他人的结果成反比的零和情境,也避免了让他人处于这样的情境。由于人们担心零和情境会充满冲突,即使这样做代价高昂,他们也会表现出零和厌恶。最后,我们发现,人们需要零和情境提供更高的回报(例如,补偿),才能克服他们的零和厌恶。最后,我们讨论了这对人际和群体冲突的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/976e1cd401ec/41598_2022_22849_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/d0a2ded70703/41598_2022_22849_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/4a996fd0ae6a/41598_2022_22849_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/f3ec9858090d/41598_2022_22849_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/ce1a04896a34/41598_2022_22849_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/976e1cd401ec/41598_2022_22849_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/d0a2ded70703/41598_2022_22849_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/4a996fd0ae6a/41598_2022_22849_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/f3ec9858090d/41598_2022_22849_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/ce1a04896a34/41598_2022_22849_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5814/9605973/976e1cd401ec/41598_2022_22849_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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Win-win denial: The psychological underpinnings of zero-sum thinking.双赢否定:零和思维的心理基础。
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The politics of zero-sum thinking: The relationship between political ideology and the belief that life is a zero-sum game.零和思维的政治:政治意识形态与生活是零和博弈的信念之间的关系。
Sci Adv. 2019 Dec 18;5(12):eaay3761. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aay3761. eCollection 2019 Dec.
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