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从众的社会学习导致了自我组织的预防措施,以避免在风险决策中出现不利偏见。

Conformist social learning leads to self-organised prevention against adverse bias in risky decision making.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Konstanz, Konstanz, Germany.

Centre for the Advanced Study of Collective Behaviour, University of Konstanz,, Konstanz, Germany.

出版信息

Elife. 2022 May 10;11:e75308. doi: 10.7554/eLife.75308.

Abstract

Given the ubiquity of potentially adverse behavioural bias owing to myopic trial-and-error learning, it seems paradoxical that improvements in decision-making performance through conformist social learning, a process widely considered to be bias amplification, still prevail in animal collective behaviour. Here we show, through model analyses and large-scale interactive behavioural experiments with 585 human subjects, that conformist influence can indeed promote favourable risk taking in repeated experience-based decision making, even though many individuals are systematically biased towards adverse risk aversion. Although strong positive feedback conferred by copying the majority's behaviour could result in unfavourable informational cascades, our differential equation model of collective behavioural dynamics identified a key role for increasing exploration by negative feedback arising when a weak minority influence undermines the inherent behavioural bias. This 'collective behavioural rescue', emerging through coordination of positive and negative feedback, highlights a benefit of collective learning in a broader range of environmental conditions than previously assumed and resolves the ostensible paradox of adaptive collective behavioural flexibility under conformist influences.

摘要

鉴于由于近视试错学习而产生的潜在不良行为偏见无处不在,通过被广泛认为是偏见放大的从众社会学习来提高决策表现,这似乎自相矛盾,但这种情况仍然在动物集体行为中普遍存在。在这里,我们通过对 585 名人类受试者进行模型分析和大规模的互动行为实验,表明从众影响确实可以促进基于重复经验的决策中的有利风险承担,尽管许多个体系统地偏向于不利的风险厌恶。虽然由复制大多数行为所带来的强烈正反馈可能导致不利的信息级联,但我们的集体行为动态微分方程模型确定了通过负面反馈来增加探索的关键作用,当弱少数的影响削弱了固有的行为偏见时,负面反馈就会出现。这种“集体行为救援”,通过正反馈和负反馈的协调而出现,强调了在比以前假设的更广泛的环境条件下进行集体学习的好处,并解决了在从众影响下适应性集体行为灵活性的明显悖论。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/59a0/9090329/ac343477d931/elife-75308-fig1.jpg

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