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儿童、青少年和成年人的新冠后并发症:一项匹配队列研究,纳入了德国超过 157000 例新冠患者。

Post-COVID-19-associated morbidity in children, adolescents, and adults: A matched cohort study including more than 157,000 individuals with COVID-19 in Germany.

机构信息

Center for Evidence-Based Healthcare (ZEGV), University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus and Carl Gustav Carus Faculty of Medicine, TU Dresden, Dresden, Germany.

Vandage GmbH, Bielefeld, Germany and Faculty for Business Administration and Economics, Bielefeld University, Bielefeld, Germany.

出版信息

PLoS Med. 2022 Nov 10;19(11):e1004122. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004122. eCollection 2022 Nov.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Long-term health sequelae of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) are a major public health concern. However, evidence on post-acute COVID-19 syndrome (post-COVID-19) is still limited, particularly for children and adolescents. Utilizing comprehensive healthcare data on approximately 46% of the German population, we investigated post-COVID-19-associated morbidity in children/adolescents and adults.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used routine data from German statutory health insurance organizations covering the period between January 1, 2019 and December 31, 2020. The base population included all individuals insured for at least 1 day in 2020. Based on documented diagnoses, we identified individuals with polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-confirmed COVID-19 through June 30, 2020. A control cohort was assigned using 1:5 exact matching on age and sex, and propensity score matching on preexisting medical conditions. The date of COVID-19 diagnosis was used as index date for both cohorts, which were followed for incident morbidity outcomes documented in the second quarter after index date or later.Overall, 96 prespecified outcomes were aggregated into 13 diagnosis/symptom complexes and 3 domains (physical health, mental health, and physical/mental overlap domain). We used Poisson regression to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The study population included 11,950 children/adolescents (48.1% female, 67.2% aged between 0 and 11 years) and 145,184 adults (60.2% female, 51.1% aged between 18 and 49 years). The mean follow-up time was 236 days (standard deviation (SD) = 44 days, range = 121 to 339 days) in children/adolescents and 254 days (SD = 36 days, range = 93 to 340 days) in adults. COVID-19 and control cohort were well balanced regarding covariates. The specific outcomes with the highest IRR and an incidence rate (IR) of at least 1/100 person-years in the COVID-19 cohort in children and adolescents were malaise/fatigue/exhaustion (IRR: 2.28, 95% CI: 1.71 to 3.06, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 12.58, IR Control: 5.51), cough (IRR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.04, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 36.56, IR Control: 21.06), and throat/chest pain (IRR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.39 to 2.12, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 20.01, IR Control: 11.66). In adults, these included disturbances of smell and taste (IRR: 6.69, 95% CI: 5.88 to 7.60, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 12.42, IR Control: 1.86), fever (IRR: 3.33, 95% CI: 3.01 to 3.68, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 11.53, IR Control: 3.46), and dyspnea (IRR: 2.88, 95% CI: 2.74 to 3.02, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 43.91, IR Control: 15.27). For all health outcomes combined, IRs per 1,000 person-years in the COVID-19 cohort were significantly higher than those in the control cohort in both children/adolescents (IRR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.25 to 1.35, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 436.91, IR Control: 335.98) and adults (IRR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.31 to 1.34, p < 0.01, IR COVID-19: 615.82, IR Control: 464.15). The relative magnitude of increased documented morbidity was similar for the physical, mental, and physical/mental overlap domain. In the COVID-19 cohort, IRs were significantly higher in all 13 diagnosis/symptom complexes in adults and in 10 diagnosis/symptom complexes in children/adolescents. IRR estimates were similar for age groups 0 to 11 and 12 to 17. IRs in children/adolescents were consistently lower than those in adults. Limitations of our study include potentially unmeasured confounding and detection bias.

CONCLUSIONS

In this retrospective matched cohort study, we observed significant new onset morbidity in children, adolescents, and adults across 13 prespecified diagnosis/symptom complexes, following COVID-19 infection. These findings expand the existing available evidence on post-COVID-19 conditions in younger age groups and confirm previous findings in adults.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05074953.

摘要

背景

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的长期健康后遗症是一个主要的公共卫生关注点。然而,关于急性 COVID-19 后综合征(post-COVID-19)的证据仍然有限,尤其是针对儿童和青少年。利用约占德国人口 46%的综合医疗保健数据,我们调查了儿童/青少年和成年人的 COVID-19 后相关发病率。

方法和发现

我们使用了德国法定健康保险机构从 2019 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 12 月 31 日期间的常规数据。基础人群包括在 2020 年至少有一天参保的所有人。根据记录的诊断,我们通过 2020 年 6 月 30 日之前使用聚合酶链反应(PCR)确认 COVID-19 病例。对照组通过年龄和性别进行 1:5 精确匹配,并根据预先存在的医疗条件进行倾向评分匹配。COVID-19 诊断日期被用作两个队列的索引日期,随后在索引日期后或之后的第二个季度记录发病的发病率结局。总体而言,96 个预先指定的结局被汇总为 13 个诊断/症状复合物和 3 个领域(身体健康、心理健康和身心重叠领域)。我们使用泊松回归估计发病率比(IRR)和 95%置信区间(95%CI)。研究人群包括 11950 名儿童/青少年(48.1%为女性,67.2%年龄在 0 至 11 岁之间)和 145184 名成年人(60.2%为女性,51.1%年龄在 18 至 49 岁之间)。儿童/青少年的平均随访时间为 236 天(标准差(SD)=44 天,范围为 121 至 339 天),成年人的平均随访时间为 254 天(SD=36 天,范围为 93 至 340 天)。COVID-19 和对照组在协变量方面平衡良好。在 COVID-19 队列中,儿童和青少年中发病率(IR)至少为 1/100 人年的特定结局的最高 IRR 和发病率(IR)是不适/疲劳/疲倦(IRR:2.28,95%CI:1.71 至 3.06,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:12.58,IR 对照组:5.51)、咳嗽(IRR:1.74,95%CI:1.48 至 2.04,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:36.56,IR 对照组:21.06)和喉咙/胸部疼痛(IRR:1.72,95%CI:1.39 至 2.12,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:20.01,IR 对照组:11.66)。在成年人中,这些包括嗅觉和味觉障碍(IRR:6.69,95%CI:5.88 至 7.60,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:12.42,IR 对照组:1.86)、发热(IRR:3.33,95%CI:3.01 至 3.68,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:11.53,IR 对照组:3.46)和呼吸困难(IRR:2.88,95%CI:2.74 至 3.02,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:43.91,IR 对照组:15.27)。对于所有健康结局,COVID-19 队列的发病率(IR)每 1000 人年显著高于对照组,在儿童/青少年(IRR:1.30,95%CI:1.25 至 1.35,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:436.91,IR 对照组:335.98)和成年人(IRR:1.33,95%CI:1.31 至 1.34,p<0.01,IR COVID-19:615.82,IR 对照组:464.15)。身体、心理和身心重叠领域的文档发病率增加的相对幅度相似。在 COVID-19 队列中,成年人中有 13 个诊断/症状复合物和 10 个诊断/症状复合物的发病率明显更高,儿童/青少年的发病率也更高。年龄组 0 至 11 岁和 12 至 17 岁的 IRR 估计值相似。儿童/青少年的发病率始终低于成年人。我们研究的局限性包括潜在的未测量的混杂因素和检测偏倚。

结论

在这项回顾性匹配队列研究中,我们观察到 COVID-19 感染后,儿童、青少年和成年人在 13 个预先指定的诊断/症状复合物中出现显著的新发发病率。这些发现扩展了现有关于年轻年龄组急性 COVID-19 后疾病的证据,并证实了成年人的先前发现。

试验注册

ClinicalTrials.gov https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05074953。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a85a/9648706/84e6237db1e6/pmed.1004122.g001.jpg

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